{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8a332a9a-1dc3-40a9-b727-a0e82e4dbe78",
    "symbol": "EDOW",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST EXCHANGE TRADED FUND DOW 30 EQUAL WEIGHT ETF USD",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.965,
    "architecture_energy": 78.391,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.693,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.322,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 71.62,
        "upward_expansion": 89.03,
        "deceleration": 49.07,
        "rotation_down": 15.95,
        "downward_expansion": 15.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        43.557939
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 46.5597,
    "trend_reference": 42.964946,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083667,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.30745,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.282373,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.616974,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069635,
    "excess_performance": -0.05599,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083667,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028236,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.282373,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065689,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00617,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048245,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069635,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.248421,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 93958,
      "relative_activity": 1.059505,
      "balance": 2.248421,
      "dry_up": 0.901393,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020735,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11069,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007192,
      "from_low_reference": 0.223807
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 36.30745,
      "structural_low": 39.69,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.011882,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001093,
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        "worst_return": -0.112952,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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        "energy": 20.905098,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "energy": 40.681037,
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      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 172738.1,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 35.400202,
        "relative_strength": -2.868601,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 35.495054,
        "relative_strength": -2.831407,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 68.214373,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 35.690801,
        "relative_strength": -0.72271,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.330584,
        "energy": 57.20643,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 56808,
        "typical_volume": 103864.1,
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        "fair_value": 35.797995,
        "relative_strength": -0.530793,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 71.061366,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 104594.5,
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        "fair_value": 35.900951,
        "relative_strength": -2.197734,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 74.261123,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 44.5361,
        "volume": 57380,
        "typical_volume": 103060.45,
        "trend": 42.594764,
        "fair_value": 35.998656,
        "relative_strength": -1.172749,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.363635,
        "energy": 76.180126,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.553686,
          44.219539,
          43.443507,
          43.030879
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.3639,
        "volume": 45269,
        "typical_volume": 98056.85,
        "trend": 42.688228,
        "fair_value": 36.093481,
        "relative_strength": -0.930658,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.385828,
        "energy": 70.208607,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.549347,
          44.297493,
          43.603183,
          43.145017
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.3502,
        "volume": 123139,
        "typical_volume": 88001.85,
        "trend": 42.82138,
        "fair_value": 36.197324,
        "relative_strength": 0.185438,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.58816,
        "energy": 68.28086,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.824347,
          44.524685,
          43.844177,
          43.316757
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.5597,
        "volume": 93958,
        "typical_volume": 88681.05,
        "trend": 42.964946,
        "fair_value": 36.30745,
        "relative_strength": -0.616974,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.96537,
        "energy": 78.391282,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.410073,
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          44.18058,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}