{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a3378f3-fb82-4c20-a1bf-89f18c8f4f71", "symbol": "BIM", "name": "BIMobject AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.897, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.819, "architecture_energy": 27.159, "architecture_maturity": 23.964, "architecture_confidence": 69.209, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.33, "rotation_up": 48.38, "upward_expansion": 78.37, "deceleration": 60.1, "rotation_down": 23.71, "downward_expansion": 5.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.035667, 5.005818, 4.871476, 4.774699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.05, "trend_reference": 4.679833, "distance_from_trend": 0.079098, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.740449, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.0653, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.242113, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.06204, "excess_performance": 0.000546, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079098, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004432, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.0653, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019281, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117924, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06204, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.892602, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 586681, "relative_activity": 1.076048, "balance": 1.892602, "dry_up": 0.947695, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104417, "annualized_volatility": 0.483222, "from_high_reference": -0.212168, "from_low_reference": 0.325459 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.679833, "fair_value_reference": 4.740449, "structural_low": 3.81, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.0216, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.021728, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.268817, "worst_return": -0.246231, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.187234, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.157357, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.442652, "worst_return": -0.216149, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.206795, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.119675, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.532407, "worst_return": -0.074018, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.434323, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.3228, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.449664, "worst_return": 0.418981, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-08-18", "end": "2023-09-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.013423, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-09-22", "end": "2023-11-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.032787, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2024-02-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.297297, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.138047, "active": false }, { 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"2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.14966, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.028526, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.252483, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.109474, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009804, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.98, "volume": 449914, "typical_volume": 418127.9, "trend": 2.454833, "fair_value": 6.521346, "relative_strength": 15.052142, "stage": 1, "regime": 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"activity_lines": [ 4.887333, 4.781091, 4.68131, 4.649602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 5.27, "volume": 394655, "typical_volume": 533788.25, "trend": 4.6725, "fair_value": 4.682853, "relative_strength": -7.093441, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.721696, "energy": 58.24781, "activity_lines": [ 5.035, 4.884545, 4.74581, 4.689129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.1, "volume": 455292, "typical_volume": 542464.0, "trend": 4.6775, "fair_value": 4.70125, "relative_strength": -8.386616, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.674271, "energy": 54.402835, "activity_lines": [ 5.086, 4.943364, 4.790929, 4.71671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.685, "volume": 172064, "typical_volume": 519045.3, "trend": 4.672333, "fair_value": 4.715385, "relative_strength": -16.357048, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.187004, "energy": 42.191191, "activity_lines": [ 4.977333, 4.920364, 4.793452, 4.717194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.19, "volume": 852765, "typical_volume": 530503.85, "trend": 4.676333, "fair_value": 4.730128, "relative_strength": -7.851793, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.58928, "energy": 36.584797, "activity_lines": [ 5.047333, 4.985636, 4.841571, 4.750591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.05, "volume": 586681, "typical_volume": 545218.0, "trend": 4.679833, "fair_value": 4.740449, "relative_strength": -11.242113, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.819123, "energy": 27.158951, "activity_lines": [ 5.035667, 5.005818, 4.871476, 4.774699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }