{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8a5ac5a8-9eb6-438f-9ace-eaa8dcef14ca",
    "symbol": "ABEA",
    "name": "Alphabet Inc.",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 82.532,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 10.69,
    "architecture_energy": 14.532,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.888,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.646,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.8,
        "rotation_up": 18.02,
        "upward_expansion": 45.2,
        "deceleration": 87.2,
        "rotation_down": 32.91,
        "downward_expansion": 25.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        301.443332,
        304.495999,
        309.557474,
        301.958956
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 308.649994,
    "trend_reference": 292.476751,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055298,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 186.974352,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.650761,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.382423,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.13457,
    "excess_performance": 0.06993,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055298,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055307,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.650761,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.335933,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073824,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.404768,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13457,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.600988,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 147756,
      "relative_activity": 1.512052,
      "balance": 0.600988,
      "dry_up": 1.640694,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065256,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.332419,
      "from_high_reference": -0.119549,
      "from_low_reference": 0.836319
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 292.476751,
      "fair_value_reference": 186.974352,
      "structural_low": 238.236275,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.04718,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030529,
        "regime_survival": 0.533333,
        "best_return": 0.189664,
        "worst_return": -0.131464,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.059908,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018161,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.249801,
        "worst_return": -0.138505,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.131411,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.065932,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.418089,
        "worst_return": -0.154862,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.078212,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.244585,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.604441,
        "worst_return": -0.359801,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003705,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.126899,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.125116,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.117475,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02843,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.100525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044772,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.297127,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.003837,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 93537.8,
        "trend": 290.319327,
        "fair_value": 184.540901,
        "relative_strength": 4.721038,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 303.8,
        "volume": 161445,
        "typical_volume": 95379.75,
        "trend": 291.627573,
        "fair_value": 185.740241,
        "relative_strength": 9.423577,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.788386,
        "energy": 16.666099,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 308.649994,
        "volume": 147756,
        "typical_volume": 97718.85,
        "trend": 292.476751,
        "fair_value": 186.974352,
        "relative_strength": 7.382423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}