{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a67e638-9ae1-448f-99d2-4869e3904552", "symbol": "GODREJPROP", "name": "Godrej Properties Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 76.893, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.33, "architecture_energy": 69.297, "architecture_maturity": 18.904, "architecture_confidence": 82.588, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.04, "rotation_up": 70.08, "upward_expansion": 88.17, "deceleration": 49.45, "rotation_down": 12.36, "downward_expansion": 14.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 2075.755884, 2017.504596, 1913.872274, 1848.709683 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2070.0, "trend_reference": 1782.482084, "distance_from_trend": 0.161302, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2226.427319, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070259, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.439453, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.21779, "excess_performance": 0.261499, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.161302, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025076, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.070259, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07641, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.094395, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124042, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.21779, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.979538, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4247596, "relative_activity": 1.208785, "balance": 0.979538, "dry_up": 1.113796, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060442, "annualized_volatility": 0.338307, "from_high_reference": -0.119898, "from_low_reference": 0.443515 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1782.482084, "fair_value_reference": 2226.427319, "structural_low": 1434.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.051073, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": 0.006583, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.487039, "worst_return": -0.134426, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.184174, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.116484, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.393765, "worst_return": -0.269198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.184208, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.076934, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.48877, "worst_return": -0.011432, 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"trend": 1778.625419, "fair_value": 2219.248793, "relative_strength": 10.518131, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.058746, "energy": 84.316583, "activity_lines": [ 2043.07771, 1947.00506, 1857.381921, 1808.88974 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2105.699951, "volume": 3542244, "typical_volume": 3503015.05, "trend": 1779.865417, "fair_value": 2222.901357, "relative_strength": 12.273717, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.149389, "energy": 85.952144, "activity_lines": [ 2074.166862, 1988.889369, 1888.584952, 1829.991323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2070.0, "volume": 4247596, "typical_volume": 3513938.9, "trend": 1782.482084, "fair_value": 2226.427319, "relative_strength": 9.439453, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.330122, "energy": 69.296945, "activity_lines": [ 2075.755884, 2017.504596, 1913.872274, 1848.709683 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }