{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a6d122f-1b1b-4569-a021-5f9b502ee736", "symbol": "300177", "name": "Hi-Target Navigation Tech Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.513, "architecture_energy": 60.958, "architecture_maturity": 86.193, "architecture_confidence": 95.694, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 25.0, "upward_expansion": 10.91, "deceleration": 60.18, "rotation_down": 57.31, "downward_expansion": 84.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.066, 6.166, 6.775714, 7.310258 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.34, "trend_reference": 8.109333, "distance_from_trend": -0.218185, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.615256, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.264096, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.855609, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.332632, "excess_performance": -0.340031, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.218185, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120654, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.264096, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.258562, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318556, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015707, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.332632, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.572587, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52211122, "relative_activity": 1.101595, "balance": 0.572587, "dry_up": 1.103803, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098156, "annualized_volatility": 0.377744, "from_high_reference": -0.473422, "from_low_reference": 0.171904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.109333, "fair_value_reference": 8.615256, "structural_low": 5.41, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.043426, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.024536, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.554639, "worst_return": -0.257294, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.019971, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.024849, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.686275, "worst_return": -0.245098, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.068481, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.070822, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.144213, "worst_return": -0.222714, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-10", "close": 6.23, "volume": 57188465, "typical_volume": 49047847.8, "trend": 8.653, "fair_value": 8.645064, "relative_strength": -40.218676, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.759398, "energy": 88.024428, "activity_lines": [ 6.372, 6.805273, 7.421381, 7.952538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.66, "volume": 61660528, "typical_volume": 49053633.55, "trend": 8.521333, "fair_value": 8.637949, "relative_strength": -39.378112, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.868607, "energy": 87.960555, "activity_lines": [ 6.099333, 6.512909, 7.203143, 7.759441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.62, "volume": 50153501, "typical_volume": 47975212.2, "trend": 8.378667, "fair_value": 8.626667, "relative_strength": -39.136542, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.379096, "energy": 72.214989, "activity_lines": [ 5.891333, 6.266182, 7.001714, 7.572258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.22, "volume": 45237770, "typical_volume": 47484579.1, "trend": 8.242333, "fair_value": 8.618397, "relative_strength": -30.636988, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.145678, "energy": 65.846757, "activity_lines": [ 5.960667, 6.184909, 6.875571, 7.432989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.34, "volume": 52211122, "typical_volume": 47395913.5, "trend": 8.109333, "fair_value": 8.615256, "relative_strength": -31.855609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.512643, "energy": 60.957756, "activity_lines": [ 6.066, 6.166, 6.775714, 7.310258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }