{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a6df6e7-1a14-4693-9fbf-68bcee255d7c", "symbol": "IAE", "name": "Voya Asia Pacific High Dividend Equity Income Fund", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.457, "architecture_energy": 19.605, "architecture_maturity": 58.595, "architecture_confidence": 84.738, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.3, "rotation_up": 24.37, "upward_expansion": 55.39, "deceleration": 90.81, "rotation_down": 27.12, "downward_expansion": 19.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.555769, 8.635209, 8.534573, 8.304446 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.66, "trend_reference": 8.055734, "distance_from_trend": 0.075011, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.913724, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.46439, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.27091, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.135036, "excess_performance": 0.009411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075011, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076763, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.46439, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024282, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.022709, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033931, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.135036, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.830158, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 285021, "relative_activity": 0.970998, "balance": 0.830158, "dry_up": 1.171037, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051344, "annualized_volatility": 0.210118, "from_high_reference": -0.058996, "from_low_reference": 0.355115 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.055734, "fair_value_reference": 5.913724, "structural_low": 6.911136, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.005612, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.013963, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.120574, "worst_return": -0.037797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.06645, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.023057, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.293112, "worst_return": -0.078515, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.128965, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.058764, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.206247, "worst_return": -0.067699, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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7.916814, "fair_value": 5.835215, "relative_strength": 4.668314, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.613642, "energy": 33.709029, "activity_lines": [ 8.653023, 8.706559, 8.419598, 8.191603 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.505638, "volume": 194479, "typical_volume": 306629.1, "trend": 7.965644, "fair_value": 5.860425, "relative_strength": 5.43863, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.942717, "energy": 24.669914, "activity_lines": [ 8.571968, 8.681638, 8.460088, 8.229592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.475864, "volume": 110854, "typical_volume": 289307.1, "trend": 8.009973, "fair_value": 5.886184, "relative_strength": 3.758726, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.385545, "energy": 21.03097, "activity_lines": [ 8.521518, 8.644113, 8.491823, 8.262509 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.66, "volume": 285021, "typical_volume": 293534.15, "trend": 8.055734, "fair_value": 5.913724, "relative_strength": 2.27091, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.457275, "energy": 19.605281, "activity_lines": [ 8.555769, 8.635209, 8.534573, 8.304446 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }