{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a758851-e33d-408f-9d28-aa1ce2d4bb24", "symbol": "LE", "name": "Lands\u2019 End Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 94.2, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -1.784, "architecture_energy": 8.004, "architecture_maturity": 15.068, "architecture_confidence": 64.216, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 66.65, "rotation_up": 29.87, "upward_expansion": 29.58, "deceleration": 47.42, "rotation_down": 22.14, "downward_expansion": 44.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.226, 11.943636, 11.776667, 12.231269 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13.12, "trend_reference": 13.208667, "distance_from_trend": -0.006713, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.331699, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.063925, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.752812, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.270706, "excess_performance": -0.45816, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006713, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082795, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.063925, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108666, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.187528, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10773, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.270706, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.196367, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 917523, "relative_activity": 0.596399, "balance": 2.196367, "dry_up": 0.772805, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10845, "annualized_volatility": 0.622118, "from_high_reference": -0.345309, "from_low_reference": 0.372385 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.208667, "fair_value_reference": 12.331699, "structural_low": 9.56, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.068988, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.037138, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.217272, "worst_return": -0.348635, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.205347, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.178164, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.31367, "worst_return": -0.318859, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.23661, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.379917, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.381086, "worst_return": -0.468983, "sufficient": true 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"active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.071102, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.027544, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.09409, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.15824, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.062064, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-12-26", 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"relative_strength": -31.62944, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.795608, "energy": 31.201838, "activity_lines": [ 11.518667, 11.562909, 11.710429, 12.561763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.6, "volume": 1563027, "typical_volume": 1767214.3, "trend": 13.444667, "fair_value": 12.278942, "relative_strength": -26.167661, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.29625, "energy": 32.416803, "activity_lines": [ 11.46, 11.572727, 11.648619, 12.435548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.75, "volume": 1310537, "typical_volume": 1763823.8, "trend": 13.348667, "fair_value": 12.294391, "relative_strength": -23.631141, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.063913, "energy": 30.730123, "activity_lines": [ 11.505333, 11.608545, 11.622381, 12.326215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.02, "volume": 964563, "typical_volume": 1688853.85, "trend": 13.263, "fair_value": 12.310288, "relative_strength": -22.075171, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.53462, "energy": 15.949394, "activity_lines": [ 11.686667, 11.679273, 11.64281, 12.240495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.12, "volume": 917523, "typical_volume": 1538437.45, "trend": 13.208667, "fair_value": 12.331699, "relative_strength": -18.752812, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.784241, "energy": 8.003515, "activity_lines": [ 12.226, 11.943636, 11.776667, 12.231269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }