{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a7fadb6-0bba-4e16-9240-0c44a438a41a", "symbol": "300711", "name": "GHT Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.715, "architecture_energy": 49.52, "architecture_maturity": 75.929, "architecture_confidence": 79.179, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.45, "rotation_up": 29.36, "upward_expansion": 17.99, "deceleration": 64.14, "rotation_down": 48.8, "downward_expansion": 76.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.458, 16.346364, 17.822949, 19.597357 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.92, "trend_reference": 21.917081, "distance_from_trend": -0.09112, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.930828, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.052252, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.402554, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.255246, "excess_performance": -0.262645, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09112, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075686, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.052252, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102547, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.124026, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115037, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.255246, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.505863, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53131361, "relative_activity": 2.882931, "balance": 0.505863, "dry_up": 1.407068, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092144, "annualized_volatility": 0.543145, "from_high_reference": -0.42734, "from_low_reference": 0.498871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.917081, "fair_value_reference": 18.930828, "structural_low": 13.29, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.051273, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.00451, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.608494, "worst_return": -0.12803, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.0567, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.020318, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.125769, "worst_return": -0.014844, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.088258, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.100356, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.146424, "worst_return": 0.007346, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -36.485079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.694458, "energy": 85.777398, "activity_lines": [ 15.01, 16.131036, 18.308277, 20.200156 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.04, "volume": 14705733, "typical_volume": 16966731.5, "trend": 22.019262, "fair_value": 18.8888, "relative_strength": -30.785693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.099086, "energy": 81.941957, "activity_lines": [ 14.888667, 15.750909, 17.808068, 19.732794 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.92, "volume": 53131361, "typical_volume": 18429632.65, "trend": 21.917081, "fair_value": 18.930828, "relative_strength": -12.402554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.715364, "energy": 49.520468, "activity_lines": [ 16.458, 16.346364, 17.822949, 19.597357 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }