{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a8d8473-e809-48b3-8285-9ff563b0af7b", "symbol": "PRIZ", "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Prime Eurozone UCITS ETF DR", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.809, "architecture_energy": 56.597, "architecture_maturity": 63.477, "architecture_confidence": 68.986, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.49, "rotation_up": 50.07, "upward_expansion": 79.76, "deceleration": 69.52, "rotation_down": 28.25, "downward_expansion": 8.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 3436.216667, 3429.136364, 3379.07381, 3323.634409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3518.75, "trend_reference": 3266.216667, "distance_from_trend": 0.077317, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2749.520852, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279768, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.961764, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.097637, "excess_performance": 0.046402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077317, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032914, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.279768, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064999, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.019618, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020944, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.097637, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.122011, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2082, "relative_activity": 0.329973, "balance": 2.122011, "dry_up": 0.325258, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019918, "annualized_volatility": 0.173276, "from_high_reference": -0.009848, "from_low_reference": 0.215996 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3266.216667, "fair_value_reference": 2749.520852, "structural_low": 2897.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.000165, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.000823, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.08157, "worst_return": -0.101638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.020361, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.004791, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.104959, "worst_return": -0.079736, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.083746, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.007966, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.100024, "worst_return": 0.016767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -0.655233, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.565304, "energy": 36.466544, "activity_lines": [ 3399.333333, 3408.013636, 3357.003571, 3306.632796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3518.75, "volume": 2082, "typical_volume": 6309.6, "trend": 3266.216667, "fair_value": 2749.520852, "relative_strength": 1.961764, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.808558, "energy": 56.59684, "activity_lines": [ 3436.216667, 3429.136364, 3379.07381, 3323.634409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }