{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a8ffb50-1114-4411-b2a6-1f6b7238eeb5", "symbol": "ISUH", "name": "Amundi Label ISR Actions USA UCITS ETF EUR H Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.764, "architecture_energy": 69.761, "architecture_maturity": 76.382, "architecture_confidence": 74.514, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.76, "rotation_up": 57.29, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.66, "rotation_down": 29.55, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.549733, 12.514473, 12.353124, 12.092488 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.899, "trend_reference": 11.809233, "distance_from_trend": 0.092281, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.809814, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.193268, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.732922, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.139588, "excess_performance": 0.086277, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092281, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034416, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.193268, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078252, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.047329, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011345, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.139588, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.482967, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40, "relative_activity": 0.003264, "balance": 0.482967, "dry_up": 0.018771, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014992, "annualized_volatility": 0.14743, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.233646 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.809233, "fair_value_reference": 10.809814, "structural_low": 10.456, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.009353, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.007852, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.009353, "worst_return": -0.009353, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.040074, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 9.7572, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 9.8269, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", 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14193.75, "trend": 11.661867, "fair_value": 10.726805, "relative_strength": 7.226417, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.900075, "energy": 87.91389, "activity_lines": [ 12.504, 12.447927, 12.109571, 11.886957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.551, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14178.35, "trend": 11.703033, "fair_value": 10.748783, "relative_strength": 6.959638, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.331593, "energy": 89.919594, "activity_lines": [ 12.526333, 12.4834, 12.182733, 11.94432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.286, "volume": 159, "typical_volume": 13544.9, "trend": 11.732933, "fair_value": 10.767083, "relative_strength": 4.090825, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.01311, "energy": 75.010934, "activity_lines": [ 12.450867, 12.455709, 12.224786, 11.981931 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.31, "volume": 721, "typical_volume": 13539.4, "trend": 11.762433, "fair_value": 10.785235, "relative_strength": 2.522425, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.892764, "energy": 55.371642, "activity_lines": [ 12.399067, 12.432145, 12.263838, 12.019161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.899, "volume": 40, "typical_volume": 12253.25, "trend": 11.809233, "fair_value": 10.809814, "relative_strength": 4.732922, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.764148, "energy": 69.761296, "activity_lines": [ 12.549733, 12.514473, 12.353124, 12.092488 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }