{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8a92f527-d2ea-4803-aee4-00a183bfcc4a", "symbol": "301377", "name": "Guangdong Dtech Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.495, "architecture_energy": 27.545, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.913, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.8, "rotation_up": 23.08, "upward_expansion": 56.89, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 32.83, "downward_expansion": 20.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 411.089335, 449.226363, 409.08541, 358.166662 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 451.839996, "trend_reference": 293.834229, "distance_from_trend": 0.537738, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 83.783364, "distance_from_fair_value": 4.392956, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 117.954354, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.508881, "excess_performance": 1.501482, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.537738, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.662031, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 4.392956, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.624899, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.179544, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.30685, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.508881, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.434948, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28642264, "relative_activity": 1.475968, "balance": 1.434948, "dry_up": 1.326754, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.197771, "annualized_volatility": 0.792766, "from_high_reference": -0.317771, "from_low_reference": 8.120111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 293.834229, "fair_value_reference": 83.783364, "structural_low": 160.459132, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.099908, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.08239, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.151264, "worst_return": 0.048551, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.883386, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.76764, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.883386, "worst_return": 0.883386, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.894587, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.597368, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.894587, "worst_return": 1.894587, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 13.795993, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.290603, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 19.657782, "volume": 14563792, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-04", "close": 19.657782, "volume": 10079220, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-11", "close": 20.31304, "volume": 11897613, 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99.477479, "activity_lines": [ 472.333331, 386.8526, 307.679214, 266.135441 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 590.0, "volume": 5570791, "typical_volume": 18123066.0, "trend": 230.42176, "fair_value": 67.92631, "relative_strength": 226.889555, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.786195, "energy": 96.993504, "activity_lines": [ 527.095998, 434.321222, 339.352832, 290.38378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 518.039978, "volume": 5027731, "typical_volume": 17490009.0, "trend": 244.350727, "fair_value": 71.10439, "relative_strength": 176.470092, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.575927, "energy": 87.194591, "activity_lines": [ 539.247325, 462.064905, 362.221192, 308.939794 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 466.940002, "volume": 23222541, "typical_volume": 17700483.5, "trend": 256.390435, "fair_value": 73.95855, "relative_strength": 147.337701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.993389, "energy": 67.875886, "activity_lines": [ 523.210661, 475.029815, 378.545068, 323.300393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 425.0, "volume": 27937542, "typical_volume": 18098395.85, "trend": 266.934024, "fair_value": 76.540838, "relative_strength": 137.025931, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.572225, "energy": 62.742578, "activity_lines": [ 488.458663, 476.145997, 389.504363, 334.178429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 396.600006, "volume": 23934845, "typical_volume": 18424409.75, "trend": 276.388924, "fair_value": 78.935453, "relative_strength": 112.387574, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.720451, "energy": 38.088519, "activity_lines": [ 447.326666, 468.687271, 396.675079, 342.543976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 350.100006, "volume": 22471959, "typical_volume": 18776584.25, "trend": 283.399446, "fair_value": 81.017907, "relative_strength": 84.57579, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.100686, "energy": 30.930917, "activity_lines": [ 404.254669, 450.066545, 398.439518, 347.29953 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 451.839996, "volume": 28642264, "typical_volume": 19405751.45, "trend": 293.834229, "fair_value": 83.783364, "relative_strength": 117.954354, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.495036, "energy": 27.544511, "activity_lines": [ 411.089335, 449.226363, 409.08541, 358.166662 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }