{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8aa2e9af-9cd9-4859-8a8a-575a1712c238",
    "symbol": "301048",
    "name": "Gemac Engineering Machinery Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -50.756,
    "architecture_energy": 46.491,
    "architecture_maturity": 99.654,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.202,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.73,
        "rotation_up": 26.34,
        "upward_expansion": 19.23,
        "deceleration": 66.79,
        "rotation_down": 45.19,
        "downward_expansion": 69.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.802732,
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        9.298804,
        9.735673
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 9.06,
    "trend_reference": 10.336763,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.123517,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 10.103555,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.103286,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.821916,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.227621,
    "excess_performance": -0.235021,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123517,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090047,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103286,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.184434,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.218219,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014014,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.227621,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.452125,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21656989,
      "relative_activity": 0.672429,
      "balance": 0.452125,
      "dry_up": 0.618589,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065721,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.284467,
      "from_high_reference": -0.440741,
      "from_low_reference": 0.097132
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.336763,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.103555,
      "structural_low": 8.257892,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
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        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032366,
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        "worst_return": -0.15508,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "worst_return": -0.183929,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.89,
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        "typical_volume": 31977914.2,
        "trend": 10.414763,
        "fair_value": 10.118339,
        "relative_strength": -19.84096,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.878194,
        "energy": 58.756906,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.06,
        "volume": 21656989,
        "typical_volume": 32207095.7,
        "trend": 10.336763,
        "fair_value": 10.103555,
        "relative_strength": -21.821916,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.756325,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}