{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8aa4695c-3ed9-4d69-9a76-5a11cd996b1d", "symbol": "BAJAJHFL", "name": "BAJAJ HOUSING FINANCE LTD", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.145, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.021, "architecture_energy": 11.647, "architecture_maturity": 15.525, "architecture_confidence": 54.199, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.56, "rotation_up": 19.47, "upward_expansion": 20.12, "deceleration": 66.78, "rotation_down": 45.93, "downward_expansion": 31.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.756666, 86.609999, 86.352999, 86.001397 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 85.790001, "trend_reference": 86.295333, "distance_from_trend": -0.005856, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 109.385858, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.215712, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.63209, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.060145, "excess_performance": -0.016435, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005856, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": 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"fair_value_reference": 109.385858, "structural_low": 72.650002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.022861, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.036237, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.022861, "worst_return": -0.022861, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -8.316081, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.601786, "energy": 13.431564, "activity_lines": [ 86.714666, 86.78909, 86.252952, 86.107806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.019997, "volume": 23000927, "typical_volume": 23983315.5, "trend": 86.553, "fair_value": 109.626633, "relative_strength": -8.20208, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.914039, "energy": 6.715079, "activity_lines": [ 86.224665, 86.747272, 86.323142, 86.050623 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 85.790001, "volume": 14631284, "typical_volume": 23088263.0, "trend": 86.295333, "fair_value": 109.385858, "relative_strength": -8.63209, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.021404, "energy": 11.646565, "activity_lines": [ 85.756666, 86.609999, 86.352999, 86.001397 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }