{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8aaeef83-83a0-491f-ae59-3209b7892665", "symbol": "000948", "name": "Yunnan Nantian Electronics Information Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -12.795, "architecture_energy": 22.952, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 50.971, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.43, "rotation_up": 43.97, "upward_expansion": 27.15, "deceleration": 41.33, "rotation_down": 20.56, "downward_expansion": 52.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.454667, 13.699359, 13.717331, 14.205493 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 14.8, "trend_reference": 15.065749, "distance_from_trend": -0.017639, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.407875, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.097994, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.826783, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.123742, "excess_performance": -0.131142, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017639, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086851, "read": "Falling" 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11.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.010721, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.001808, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.166116, "worst_return": -0.180217, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.038586, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.075189, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.287761, "worst_return": -0.243523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.077316, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.015905, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.917856, "worst_return": -0.238876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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12.502152, 12.793357, 13.664425, 14.450998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.15, "volume": 87497069, "typical_volume": 23801100.05, "trend": 15.374082, "fair_value": 16.46544, "relative_strength": -17.098875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.419191, "energy": 42.825885, "activity_lines": [ 13.073105, 12.953312, 13.637175, 14.366326 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.7, "volume": 122399483, "typical_volume": 28448795.2, "trend": 15.228082, "fair_value": 16.441523, "relative_strength": -24.850356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.57229, "energy": 33.392189, "activity_lines": [ 13.053931, 12.873631, 13.487164, 14.193804 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.78, "volume": 178055495, "typical_volume": 36300141.9, "trend": 15.170749, "fair_value": 16.426481, "relative_strength": -4.326767, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.488625, "energy": 17.842973, "activity_lines": [ 14.050631, 13.390859, 13.648009, 14.229412 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.8, "volume": 139028630, "typical_volume": 42277824.85, "trend": 15.065749, "fair_value": 16.407875, "relative_strength": -13.826783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.794831, "energy": 22.951845, "activity_lines": [ 14.454667, 13.699359, 13.717331, 14.205493 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }