{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ab1ea46-96b0-49d0-b62e-9ea6cb2251b3", "symbol": "EIS", "name": "ISHARES INC MSCI ISRAEL ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 74.445, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.455, "architecture_energy": 11.876, "architecture_maturity": 17.399, "architecture_confidence": 76.726, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.98, "rotation_up": 21.56, "upward_expansion": 25.04, "deceleration": 74.49, "rotation_down": 44.96, "downward_expansion": 31.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 120.904, 120.8601, 123.844423, 123.710533 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 123.64, "trend_reference": 122.96532, "distance_from_trend": 0.005487, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 81.707328, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.513206, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.589953, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.037386, "excess_performance": -0.088239, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005487, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041444, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.513206, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.282772, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.0259, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191066, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.037386, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.734604, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 243725, "relative_activity": 0.498884, "balance": 0.734604, "dry_up": 0.601113, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051903, "annualized_volatility": 0.300935, "from_high_reference": -0.10412, "from_low_reference": 0.444112 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 122.96532, "fair_value_reference": 81.707328, "structural_low": 109.155231, "invalidation": "A 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120.495555, 123.8965, 125.282258, 124.14229 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 119.94, "volume": 295776, "typical_volume": 616656.7, "trend": 122.134114, "fair_value": 80.422031, "relative_strength": -1.124738, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.205469, "energy": 37.651894, "activity_lines": [ 119.819333, 122.643353, 124.854017, 124.020999 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 119.57, "volume": 416263, "typical_volume": 543223.7, "trend": 122.485249, "fair_value": 80.842708, "relative_strength": -0.996508, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.619263, "energy": 37.433408, "activity_lines": [ 119.635333, 121.615869, 124.38159, 123.855572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 119.35, "volume": 218908, "typical_volume": 504635.95, "trend": 122.752848, "fair_value": 81.260069, "relative_strength": -2.412276, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.579962, "energy": 27.358914, "activity_lines": [ 119.604667, 120.723712, 123.913825, 123.653298 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 123.64, "volume": 243725, "typical_volume": 488540.7, "trend": 122.96532, "fair_value": 81.707328, "relative_strength": -2.589953, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.454766, "energy": 11.87629, "activity_lines": [ 120.904, 120.8601, 123.844423, 123.710533 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }