{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ab6a107-6142-42b3-9b29-a7961110d7c4", "symbol": "PEBO", "name": "Peoples Bancorp Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.379, "architecture_energy": 83.322, "architecture_maturity": 48.455, "architecture_confidence": 81.467, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 81.88, "upward_expansion": 96.51, "deceleration": 41.86, "rotation_down": 11.26, "downward_expansion": 18.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.350597, 39.326884, 37.491528, 36.213456 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 40.93, "trend_reference": 34.666284, "distance_from_trend": 0.180686, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.913228, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.415615, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.351574, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.21236, "excess_performance": 0.024906, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.180686, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094374, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.415615, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.178051, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.113516, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163611, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.21236, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.949744, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1723581, "relative_activity": 1.330307, "balance": 1.949744, "dry_up": 1.361598, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040653, "annualized_volatility": 0.184798, "from_high_reference": -0.028483, "from_low_reference": 0.548393 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.666284, "fair_value_reference": 28.913228, "structural_low": 30.412209, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.002238, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.016691, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.108084, "worst_return": -0.129405, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.00383, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004339, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.14907, "worst_return": -0.149045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.029704, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.004961, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.106755, "worst_return": -0.157915, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.703476, "energy": 86.581775, "activity_lines": [ 38.325686, 37.360871, 35.887478, 34.904027 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.90843, "volume": 2337446, "typical_volume": 1310249.5, "trend": 33.910225, "fair_value": 28.693537, "relative_strength": 15.619905, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.323537, "energy": 85.541385, "activity_lines": [ 38.962462, 37.997303, 36.38964, 35.312788 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.244981, "volume": 1604743, "typical_volume": 1340834.55, "trend": 34.304397, "fair_value": 28.804503, "relative_strength": 18.316575, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.591324, "energy": 86.546894, "activity_lines": [ 39.799526, 38.751682, 36.979471, 35.785998 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.93, "volume": 1723581, "typical_volume": 1295626.1, "trend": 34.666284, "fair_value": 28.913228, "relative_strength": 11.351574, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.379048, "energy": 83.322479, "activity_lines": [ 40.350597, 39.326884, 37.491528, 36.213456 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }