{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8ab8b65f-9bc2-4d0e-9fd2-3d808ab198cc",
    "symbol": "WELL",
    "name": "Harbor Health Care UCITS ETF - Accumulating",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 52.007,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.779,
    "architecture_energy": 46.867,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.604,
    "architecture_confidence": 42.965,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.32,
        "rotation_up": 46.98,
        "upward_expansion": 68.66,
        "deceleration": 65.43,
        "rotation_down": 25.24,
        "downward_expansion": 18.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        6.794082
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 7.246,
    "trend_reference": 6.700967,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081337,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.460276,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.121624,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.969071,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.114255,
    "excess_performance": -0.056637,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081337,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00772,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121624,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138544,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069691,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060324,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114255,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.460532,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 491,
      "relative_activity": 0.047396,
      "balance": 0.460532,
      "dry_up": 1.325389,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032729,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.222333,
      "from_high_reference": -0.042294,
      "from_low_reference": 0.228136
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.700967,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.460276,
      "structural_low": 6.046,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.003343,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042325,
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        "best_return": 0.074116,
        "worst_return": -0.097367,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.184028,
        "sufficient": true
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 47.409006,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 6266.35,
        "trend": 6.668433,
        "fair_value": 6.463359,
        "relative_strength": -13.001443,
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        "energy": 38.960588,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 6271.9,
        "trend": 6.662233,
        "fair_value": 6.458769,
        "relative_strength": -12.20075,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.686891,
        "energy": 35.958615,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 6287.95,
        "trend": 6.6583,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.581069,
        "energy": 21.395808,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 7199.4,
        "trend": 6.649633,
        "fair_value": 6.452897,
        "relative_strength": -11.826053,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 19.131732,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 6.642,
        "volume": 43678,
        "typical_volume": 8034.5,
        "trend": 6.652833,
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        "relative_strength": -9.659233,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.818825,
        "energy": 13.185194,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 6.634,
        "volume": 9225,
        "typical_volume": 7761.3,
        "trend": 6.646467,
        "fair_value": 6.445897,
        "relative_strength": -12.320222,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 18.498062,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": 1.233023,
        "energy": 18.934292,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.223,
        "volume": 1836,
        "typical_volume": 7694.55,
        "trend": 6.6312,
        "fair_value": 6.445276,
        "relative_strength": -3.725256,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 55.315369,
        "energy": 68.907725,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.571783
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.537,
        "volume": 150,
        "typical_volume": 7151.25,
        "trend": 6.646733,
        "fair_value": 6.450494,
        "relative_strength": -2.408848,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 68.946838,
        "energy": 87.82003,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.654005,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.336,
        "volume": 17586,
        "typical_volume": 8023.0,
        "trend": 6.6624,
        "fair_value": 6.453128,
        "relative_strength": -4.536743,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.28167,
        "energy": 92.735058,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.226067,
          6.970055,
          6.726776,
          6.67469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.245,
        "volume": 26403,
        "typical_volume": 9310.75,
        "trend": 6.6807,
        "fair_value": 6.454603,
        "relative_strength": -4.240719,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.316075,
        "energy": 88.501608,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.283733,
          7.053782,
          6.787571,
          6.712277
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.184,
        "volume": 5138,
        "typical_volume": 9365.85,
        "trend": 6.691633,
        "fair_value": 6.455917,
        "relative_strength": -4.744558,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.628204,
        "energy": 87.077432,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.280333,
          7.110218,
          6.839524,
          6.744748
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.906,
        "volume": 22890,
        "typical_volume": 10342.55,
        "trend": 6.6957,
        "fair_value": 6.456237,
        "relative_strength": -8.851572,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.817935,
        "energy": 54.908544,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.147333,
          7.101545,
          6.86231,
          6.758578
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.246,
        "volume": 491,
        "typical_volume": 10359.6,
        "trend": 6.700967,
        "fair_value": 6.460276,
        "relative_strength": -6.969071,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.779026,
        "energy": 46.866543,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.1488,
          7.148982,
          6.916114,
          6.794082
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}