{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8abcaee0-9e87-46d3-adc1-866874ba1f60", "symbol": "TTT", "name": "Toray Textiles (Thailand) Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 79.285, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 19.389, "architecture_energy": 33.669, "architecture_maturity": 71.849, "architecture_confidence": 63.757, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.97, "rotation_up": 63.94, "upward_expansion": 45.27, "deceleration": 26.95, "rotation_down": 19.83, "downward_expansion": 22.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.95, 42.197624, 41.507935, 41.741325 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 43.0, "trend_reference": 42.548499, "distance_from_trend": 0.010611, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 45.397238, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.052806, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.370518, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.065217, "excess_performance": -0.257542, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010611, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03766, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.052806, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039532, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.173705, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059799, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.065217, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.675575, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49300, "relative_activity": 2.857971, "balance": 0.675575, "dry_up": 1.863768, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043922, "annualized_volatility": 0.277336, "from_high_reference": -0.122044, "from_low_reference": 0.152994 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.548499, "fair_value_reference": 45.397238, "structural_low": 37.294201, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.011765, "positive_rate": 0.347826, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": 0.005121, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.090909, "worst_return": -0.061611, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.038145, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.005224, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.087719, "worst_return": -0.122489, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.028708, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.032064, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.041498, "worst_return": -0.19045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 41.186667, 40.898594, 40.95253, 41.645319 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.25, "volume": 19300, "typical_volume": 13205.0, "trend": 42.748499, "fair_value": 45.396767, "relative_strength": -19.566333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.722988, "energy": 8.494263, "activity_lines": [ 41.833333, 41.384536, 41.14203, 41.6664 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.5, "volume": 47600, "typical_volume": 15105.0, "trend": 42.590166, "fair_value": 45.393671, "relative_strength": -17.55613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.511811, "energy": 20.930886, "activity_lines": [ 42.583333, 41.864515, 41.351768, 41.714884 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.0, "volume": 49300, "typical_volume": 17250.0, "trend": 42.548499, "fair_value": 45.397238, "relative_strength": -17.370518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.388655, "energy": 33.668637, "activity_lines": [ 42.95, 42.197624, 41.507935, 41.741325 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }