{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ad69da7-ee35-4548-a21c-98f96dd00045", "symbol": "UBUT", "name": "UBS Factor MSCI USA Quality Screened UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.886, "architecture_energy": 74.636, "architecture_maturity": 75.689, "architecture_confidence": 87.46, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.06, "rotation_up": 64.63, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 64.85, "rotation_down": 28.78, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.798667, 60.373455, 59.027905, 57.434496 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 62.080002, "trend_reference": 55.648842, "distance_from_trend": 0.115567, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.766988, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299642, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.296301, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.195258, "excess_performance": 0.078595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115567, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04666, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.299642, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069036, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032963, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011811, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.195258, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.50964, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19465, "relative_activity": 2.053183, "balance": 1.50964, "dry_up": 1.954664, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016554, "annualized_volatility": 0.131264, "from_high_reference": -0.007355, "from_low_reference": 0.295723 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.648842, "fair_value_reference": 47.766988, "structural_low": 49.334999, 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7998.15, "trend": 54.645679, "fair_value": 47.151678, "relative_strength": 3.837803, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.788191, "energy": 74.268195, "activity_lines": [ 59.958667, 59.327273, 57.282619, 55.983161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 60.330002, "volume": 7125, "typical_volume": 8288.45, "trend": 54.902437, "fair_value": 47.304023, "relative_strength": 2.349183, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.450744, "energy": 86.270312, "activity_lines": [ 60.200667, 59.621273, 57.744524, 56.349891 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.509998, "volume": 14997, "typical_volume": 7603.3, "trend": 55.15588, "fair_value": 47.452714, "relative_strength": 2.739445, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.227362, "energy": 74.363096, "activity_lines": [ 60.386666, 59.875818, 58.186191, 56.71167 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.669998, "volume": 32537, "typical_volume": 8697.55, "trend": 55.390306, "fair_value": 47.600891, "relative_strength": 0.461298, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.787446, "energy": 66.978178, "activity_lines": [ 60.207999, 59.91909, 58.510905, 57.002903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.080002, "volume": 19465, "typical_volume": 9480.4, "trend": 55.648842, "fair_value": 47.766988, "relative_strength": 3.296301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.886143, "energy": 74.636458, "activity_lines": [ 60.798667, 60.373455, 59.027905, 57.434496 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }