{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ae3b3b5-7f7a-4b2a-94d8-289d65dd6512", "symbol": "7732", "name": "King Shing Industrial Co, LTD.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.93, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.846, "architecture_energy": 37.291, "architecture_maturity": 32.702, "architecture_confidence": 86.204, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.97, "rotation_up": 14.31, "upward_expansion": 14.77, "deceleration": 45.25, "rotation_down": 56.94, "downward_expansion": 73.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.206667, 35.44, 35.587619, 35.582906 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 34.5, "trend_reference": 35.706004, "distance_from_trend": -0.033776, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.7724, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.132564, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.10544, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.031759, "excess_performance": -0.473131, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033776, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020288, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.132564, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003362, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.321054, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044461, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.031759, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.401409, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 343000, "relative_activity": 3.127841, "balance": 0.401409, "dry_up": 1.712105, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034894, "annualized_volatility": 0.160588, "from_high_reference": -0.1731, "from_low_reference": 0.050228 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.706004, "fair_value_reference": 39.7724, "structural_low": 32.849998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.054485, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.011158, "worst_return": -0.016552, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.013947, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.076969, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.013947, "worst_return": -0.013947, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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39.885655, "relative_strength": -28.828253, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.511702, "energy": 13.065071, "activity_lines": [ 35.716667, 35.790001, 35.691862, 35.734131 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.650002, "volume": 168000, "typical_volume": 100515.2, "trend": 35.944937, "fair_value": 39.851219, "relative_strength": -27.332874, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.223968, "energy": 13.370219, "activity_lines": [ 35.696668, 35.762728, 35.706487, 35.707408 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.349998, "volume": 107000, "typical_volume": 99614.7, "trend": 35.834841, "fair_value": 39.814919, "relative_strength": -28.857253, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.582072, "energy": 17.277599, "activity_lines": [ 35.583333, 35.672728, 35.688572, 35.669025 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 34.5, "volume": 343000, "typical_volume": 109660.3, "trend": 35.706004, "fair_value": 39.7724, "relative_strength": -32.10544, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.845755, "energy": 37.291027, "activity_lines": [ 35.206667, 35.44, 35.587619, 35.582906 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }