{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8aec554b-6fcb-4cee-a4e8-041473790d77", "symbol": "688580", "name": "Nanjing Vishee Medical Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 80.183, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.928, "architecture_energy": 64.541, "architecture_maturity": 12.306, "architecture_confidence": 84.997, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.66, "rotation_up": 14.83, "upward_expansion": 19.03, "deceleration": 31.79, "rotation_down": 66.32, "downward_expansion": 85.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.901332, 51.032972, 53.065754, 54.17023 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 50.02, "trend_reference": 55.815128, "distance_from_trend": -0.103827, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.305839, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.104052, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.015698, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.097438, "excess_performance": -0.054234, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103827, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026602, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.104052, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.267331, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050157, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.194536, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.097438, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.417958, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8585462, "relative_activity": 1.021236, "balance": 0.417958, "dry_up": 1.334121, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109321, "annualized_volatility": 0.489207, "from_high_reference": -0.307873, "from_low_reference": 0.15787 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.815128, "fair_value_reference": 45.305839, "structural_low": 44.720001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.017812, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.042129, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.238219, "worst_return": -0.384301, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.004271, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.011415, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.192369, "worst_return": -0.470978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.177124, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.152033, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.808704, "worst_return": -0.594396, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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4.18866, "energy": 7.524416, "activity_lines": [ 54.5329, 54.465627, 55.65556, 55.923863 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 58.119999, "volume": 12430511, "typical_volume": 8514836.9, "trend": 55.637795, "fair_value": 45.738453, "relative_strength": 8.628432, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.061626, "energy": 13.866149, "activity_lines": [ 56.234924, 54.852529, 55.834637, 56.111575 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 50.560001, "volume": 16566517, "typical_volume": 8995538.6, "trend": 55.838461, "fair_value": 45.622709, "relative_strength": 0.257436, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.158758, "energy": 22.031939, "activity_lines": [ 54.854, 53.95292, 55.289857, 55.783975 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.259998, "volume": 9243190, "typical_volume": 8945368.3, "trend": 55.793461, "fair_value": 45.498238, "relative_strength": -11.259587, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.393768, "energy": 34.660451, "activity_lines": [ 51.621333, 52.332086, 54.278315, 55.101494 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.099998, "volume": 10468318, "typical_volume": 8490505.9, "trend": 55.761128, "fair_value": 45.385866, "relative_strength": -8.056596, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.794471, "energy": 63.103549, "activity_lines": [ 49.547999, 51.330595, 53.496534, 54.540625 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.02, "volume": 8585462, "typical_volume": 8406935.45, "trend": 55.815128, "fair_value": 45.305839, "relative_strength": -5.015698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.927947, "energy": 64.540836, "activity_lines": [ 48.901332, 51.032972, 53.065754, 54.17023 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }