{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8aef8fd0-9914-4491-a9bf-c7f1e72f4df5", "symbol": "AGM", "name": "Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.034, "architecture_energy": 94.755, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.739, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 88.14, "upward_expansion": 99.46, "deceleration": 39.24, "rotation_down": 8.89, "downward_expansion": 21.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 222.010667, 211.071385, 196.555249, 186.273363 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 235.54, "trend_reference": 175.839301, "distance_from_trend": 0.339519, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 173.241453, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.359605, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.672724, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.397581, "excess_performance": 0.271956, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.339519, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067313, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.359605, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.293568, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.206727, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.270833, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.397581, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 13.900054, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 586726, "relative_activity": 1.014512, "balance": 13.900054, "dry_up": 1.1428, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052546, "annualized_volatility": 0.351323, "from_high_reference": -0.051332, "from_low_reference": 0.739725 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 175.839301, "fair_value_reference": 173.241453, "structural_low": 135.389237, 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 205.5, "volume": 805914, "typical_volume": 596051.85, "trend": 170.720276, "fair_value": 171.879498, "relative_strength": 10.237554, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.807567, "energy": 90.319366, "activity_lines": [ 200.919333, 193.159768, 182.767635, 176.18842 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 209.51, "volume": 565012, "typical_volume": 598579.4, "trend": 171.897488, "fair_value": 172.288222, "relative_strength": 12.92572, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.786492, "energy": 90.028272, "activity_lines": [ 204.930667, 197.225595, 186.251712, 178.690983 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 227.6, "volume": 686026, "typical_volume": 610456.05, "trend": 173.715626, "fair_value": 172.778819, "relative_strength": 20.999302, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.667323, "energy": 94.136785, "activity_lines": [ 213.236, 203.895086, 191.213358, 182.284694 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 235.54, "volume": 586726, "typical_volume": 578333.45, "trend": 175.839301, "fair_value": 173.241453, "relative_strength": 20.672724, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.033967, "energy": 94.755444, "activity_lines": [ 222.010667, 211.071385, 196.555249, 186.273363 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }