{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8af2a5da-c77a-492f-8386-44f840a92262", "symbol": "FIBERWEB", "name": "Fiberweb (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.281, "architecture_energy": 37.36, "architecture_maturity": 62.284, "architecture_confidence": 77.513, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.94, "rotation_up": 27.38, "upward_expansion": 10.23, "deceleration": 59.3, "rotation_down": 37.95, "downward_expansion": 69.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.086, 30.173818, 31.065143, 32.607656 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 29.76, "trend_reference": 34.504667, "distance_from_trend": -0.137508, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 40.534936, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.265818, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.869117, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.270409, "excess_performance": -0.2267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.137508, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07094, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.265818, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192607, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.198691, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119076, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.270409, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.25394, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 94614, "relative_activity": 1.036861, "balance": 0.25394, "dry_up": 0.887281, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080723, "annualized_volatility": 0.411895, "from_high_reference": -0.432819, "from_low_reference": 0.07787 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.504667, "fair_value_reference": 40.534936, "structural_low": 27.610001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.048674, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.181818, "median_excess_return": 0.045466, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.129689, "worst_return": -0.114875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.008462, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.002099, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.290876, "worst_return": -0.078206, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.126089, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.077816, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.250794, "worst_return": -0.109427, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 30.43, "volume": 65833, "typical_volume": 91174.7, "trend": 34.885, "fair_value": 40.539231, "relative_strength": -16.885592, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.146771, "energy": 27.515228, "activity_lines": [ 30.908, 30.258546, 31.710143, 33.28486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.27, "volume": 75911, "typical_volume": 91487.5, "trend": 34.641667, "fair_value": 40.537115, "relative_strength": -21.330406, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.123909, "energy": 34.446113, "activity_lines": [ 30.387334, 30.166364, 31.347762, 32.922602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.76, "volume": 94614, "typical_volume": 91250.4, "trend": 34.504667, "fair_value": 40.534936, "relative_strength": -19.869117, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.280996, "energy": 37.36038, "activity_lines": [ 30.086, 30.173818, 31.065143, 32.607656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }