{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8af35849-b6c3-4241-988b-73b29c3876bb", "symbol": "ALDAR", "name": "Damartex", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 67.828, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 39.945, "architecture_energy": 50.521, "architecture_maturity": 3.829, "architecture_confidence": 70.738, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.87, "rotation_up": 73.81, "upward_expansion": 43.44, "deceleration": 28.56, "rotation_down": 16.68, "downward_expansion": 27.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.496, 2.42, 2.364762, 2.388817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.55, "trend_reference": 2.493, "distance_from_trend": 0.022864, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.978077, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.358987, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.699177, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.048507, "excess_performance": -0.101819, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022864, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123623, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.358987, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131047, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.206992, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155952, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.048507, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.587535, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1437, "relative_activity": 0.660265, "balance": 0.587535, "dry_up": 1.212208, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035596, "annualized_volatility": 0.52335, "from_high_reference": -0.406977, "from_low_reference": 0.349206 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.493, "fair_value_reference": 3.978077, "structural_low": 1.89, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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"red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.027778, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.255263, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.018587, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.076152, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.129032, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.004464, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.751302, "energy": 74.205967, "activity_lines": [ 2.257333, 2.261091, 2.30519, 2.420839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.35, "volume": 886, "typical_volume": 11970.0, "trend": 2.599333, "fair_value": 4.097885, "relative_strength": -27.341388, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.066185, "energy": 39.913912, "activity_lines": [ 2.288, 2.277273, 2.303333, 2.403398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.52, "volume": 5790, "typical_volume": 12086.9, "trend": 2.573333, "fair_value": 4.067115, "relative_strength": -21.196671, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.407047, "energy": 15.173341, "activity_lines": [ 2.368667, 2.322182, 2.319619, 2.39828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.46, "volume": 2843, "typical_volume": 12047.2, "trend": 2.547333, "fair_value": 4.035833, "relative_strength": -22.428167, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.582684, "energy": 21.777057, "activity_lines": [ 2.412667, 2.351455, 2.33181, 2.390968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.48, "volume": 483, "typical_volume": 2290.95, "trend": 2.516, "fair_value": 4.006474, "relative_strength": -22.009975, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.384711, "energy": 34.395881, "activity_lines": [ 2.448667, 2.381091, 2.346095, 2.386624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.55, "volume": 1437, "typical_volume": 2176.4, "trend": 2.493, "fair_value": 3.978077, "relative_strength": -20.699177, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.945047, "energy": 50.521379, "activity_lines": [ 2.496, 2.42, 2.364762, 2.388817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }