{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8b00aee1-f7ef-409f-abce-47205717e3c9", "symbol": "SDC", "name": "Samart Digital Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.787, "architecture_energy": 17.083, "architecture_maturity": 47.869, "architecture_confidence": 92.137, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.31, "rotation_up": 26.93, "upward_expansion": 21.09, "deceleration": 34.75, "rotation_down": 39.17, "downward_expansion": 59.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.024, 0.023818, 0.025381, 0.026624 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.02, "trend_reference": 0.028, "distance_from_trend": -0.285714, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.037564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.467577, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.23796, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.333333, "excess_performance": -0.525658, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.285714, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106383, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.467577, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.415905, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.44238, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.495589, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.333333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.183962, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53169600, "relative_activity": 3.921614, "balance": 0.183962, "dry_up": 1.427327, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.538462, "annualized_volatility": 1.810423, "from_high_reference": -0.6, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.028, "fair_value_reference": 0.037564, "structural_low": 0.02, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.023256, "positive_rate": 0.257143, "directional_follow_through": 0.514286, "median_excess_return": -0.05797, "regime_survival": 0.885714, "best_return": 1.5, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.18, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.150404, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": -0.428571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.416667, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.315098, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": -0.52, "sufficient": true }, { 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.584334, "energy": 14.022656, "activity_lines": [ 0.024667, 0.024364, 0.026619, 0.027677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.02, "volume": 6517600, "typical_volume": 13481790.0, "trend": 0.028667, "fair_value": 0.038013, "relative_strength": -46.416229, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.320537, "energy": 26.85014, "activity_lines": [ 0.023333, 0.023455, 0.025857, 0.027075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.03, "volume": 6673300, "typical_volume": 12955510.0, "trend": 0.028333, "fair_value": 0.037821, "relative_strength": -18.290215, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.828306, "energy": 10.809295, "activity_lines": [ 0.025333, 0.024545, 0.026095, 0.027161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.02, "volume": 53169600, "typical_volume": 13558090.0, "trend": 0.028, "fair_value": 0.037564, "relative_strength": -44.23796, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.787236, "energy": 17.083343, "activity_lines": [ 0.024, 0.023818, 0.025381, 0.026624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }