{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8b0eaccd-3bee-472f-aa18-c5c533d8ded9", "symbol": "002635", "name": "Suzhou Anjie Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.829, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.315, "architecture_energy": 34.876, "architecture_maturity": 42.305, "architecture_confidence": 53.099, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.03, "rotation_up": 16.78, "upward_expansion": 19.03, "deceleration": 66.05, "rotation_down": 64.71, "downward_expansion": 41.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.083333, 15.837637, 16.468346, 16.186542 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 14.97, "trend_reference": 15.688114, "distance_from_trend": -0.045774, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.272167, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.048895, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.649757, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.085249, "excess_performance": 0.07785, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.045774, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069137, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.048895, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150233, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026498, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006213, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.085249, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.090482, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 107722345, "relative_activity": 0.867471, "balance": 1.090482, "dry_up": 1.115677, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.185031, "annualized_volatility": 0.759937, "from_high_reference": -0.359161, "from_low_reference": 0.242324 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.688114, "fair_value_reference": 14.272167, "structural_low": 12.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.017897, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.04904, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.043233, "worst_return": -0.121088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.036054, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.000311, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.061148, "worst_return": -0.12062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.04386, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.017023, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.192861, "worst_return": -0.188701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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119610386.55, "trend": 15.662433, "fair_value": 14.260166, "relative_strength": -13.501043, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.384832, "energy": 11.013584, "activity_lines": [ 15.846, 16.939273, 16.90421, 16.387146 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.23, "volume": 135700876, "typical_volume": 121449868.3, "trend": 15.646934, "fair_value": 14.258659, "relative_strength": -9.607761, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.892496, "energy": 37.252782, "activity_lines": [ 14.464, 16.178727, 16.599152, 16.230215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.97, "volume": 107722345, "typical_volume": 124179762.0, "trend": 15.688114, "fair_value": 14.272167, "relative_strength": -2.649757, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.315234, "energy": 34.875716, "activity_lines": [ 14.083333, 15.837637, 16.468346, 16.186542 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }