{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8b163fdd-848f-4c1a-a72f-3a391c70131b", "symbol": "RAPP", "name": "Rapport Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.44, "architecture_energy": 56.295, "architecture_maturity": 54.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.246, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.73, "rotation_up": 62.12, "upward_expansion": 82.54, "deceleration": 51.63, "rotation_down": 17.52, "downward_expansion": 9.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.693333, 41.418364, 39.722476, 37.634366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.49, "trend_reference": 34.659667, "distance_from_trend": 0.312477, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.238465, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.95753, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 31.214878, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.679217, "excess_performance": 0.491764, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.312477, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127412, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.95753, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155875, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.312149, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036052, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.679217, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.296977, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1577794, "relative_activity": 0.929619, "balance": 2.296977, "dry_up": 0.919205, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103419, "annualized_volatility": 0.50799, "from_high_reference": -0.052292, "from_low_reference": 2.282107 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.659667, "fair_value_reference": 23.238465, "structural_low": 25.78, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.0037, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009535, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.089581, "worst_return": -0.066482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.003498, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.02372, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.073281, "worst_return": -0.080278, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.268583, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.091358, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.268583, "worst_return": 0.268583, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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41.142, 40.051818, 38.491905, 36.429097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.98, "volume": 1448395, "typical_volume": 1698505.1, "trend": 34.108667, "fair_value": 23.041549, "relative_strength": 26.123045, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.419173, "energy": 47.348591, "activity_lines": [ 41.196667, 40.354727, 38.923714, 36.900086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.49, "volume": 1577794, "typical_volume": 1697248.45, "trend": 34.659667, "fair_value": 23.238465, "relative_strength": 31.214878, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.440403, "energy": 56.295156, "activity_lines": [ 42.693333, 41.418364, 39.722476, 37.634366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }