{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8b251383-33c2-42a3-b496-c7a7c4a6c6bb", "symbol": "600410", "name": "Beijing Teamsun Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.054, "architecture_energy": 68.536, "architecture_maturity": 40.808, "architecture_confidence": 95.508, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.73, "rotation_up": 26.31, "upward_expansion": 14.38, "deceleration": 45.38, "rotation_down": 54.16, "downward_expansion": 85.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.307441, 14.653963, 17.11626, 19.24011 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.83, "trend_reference": 21.241789, "distance_from_trend": -0.254771, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.292912, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.401764, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.911758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.246549, "excess_performance": -0.203345, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.254771, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045084, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.401764, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.792823, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209118, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.369721, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.246549, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.587498, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 575246301, "relative_activity": 1.331963, "balance": 0.587498, "dry_up": 0.958617, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.126457, "annualized_volatility": 0.680389, "from_high_reference": -0.538618, "from_low_reference": 0.503324 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.241789, "fair_value_reference": 11.292912, "structural_low": 11.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.010622, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": 0.01496, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.255274, "worst_return": -0.231767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.002556, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.022796, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.478142, "worst_return": -0.257607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.068422, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.000595, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.043716, "worst_return": -0.406807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"down", "direction": -67.245267, "energy": 85.130551, "activity_lines": [ 15.502954, 16.814957, 19.949044, 21.206271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.12, "volume": 469695173, "typical_volume": 609968838.55, "trend": 21.565789, "fair_value": 11.163909, "relative_strength": -30.839067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.772986, "energy": 89.524865, "activity_lines": [ 14.620043, 15.873436, 19.053408, 20.651424 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.86, "volume": 292165891, "typical_volume": 527739242.75, "trend": 21.429456, "fair_value": 11.196761, "relative_strength": -33.237222, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.34411, "energy": 88.369708, "activity_lines": [ 13.877425, 15.065915, 18.208343, 20.089761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.74, "volume": 318917386, "typical_volume": 453260324.2, "trend": 21.310122, "fair_value": 11.236857, "relative_strength": -29.156154, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.328345, "energy": 84.386488, "activity_lines": [ 13.702106, 14.601666, 17.527421, 19.593667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.83, "volume": 575246301, "typical_volume": 431878448.55, "trend": 21.241789, "fair_value": 11.292912, "relative_strength": -20.911758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.053939, "energy": 68.535706, "activity_lines": [ 14.307441, 14.653963, 17.11626, 19.24011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }