{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8b43a45f-4bb9-4484-b9af-6181434d6a33",
    "symbol": "LYTNOW",
    "name": "Amundi MSCI World Information Technology UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.232,
    "architecture_energy": 53.55,
    "architecture_maturity": 69.702,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.494,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.88,
        "rotation_up": 46.69,
        "upward_expansion": 75.1,
        "deceleration": 91.17,
        "rotation_down": 29.47,
        "downward_expansion": 13.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1341.026652,
        1337.269092,
        1317.88286,
        1267.274409
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1396.599976,
    "trend_reference": 1206.646663,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.157422,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 924.873716,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.510044,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.642661,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.287901,
    "excess_performance": 0.205018,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157422,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065171,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.510044,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035986,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086427,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065095,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.287901,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.889518,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 235,
      "relative_activity": 1.0765,
      "balance": 3.889518,
      "dry_up": 0.597801,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033477,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.230969,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000716,
      "from_low_reference": 0.415425
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1206.646663,
      "fair_value_reference": 924.873716,
      "structural_low": 986.700012,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.006335,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02227,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.107598,
        "worst_return": -0.063001,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.102111,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066099,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.156373,
        "worst_return": -0.043555,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.213266,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.15879,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.252982,
        "worst_return": -0.045718,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.162012,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.168703,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.435719,
        "worst_return": -0.228676,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010502,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.074318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.082138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.049217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.117927,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.186269,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.094203,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.050106,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040911,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.089448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.065131,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 202.55,
        "trend": 1185.0,
        "fair_value": 911.061537,
        "relative_strength": 3.420796,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1311.199951,
        "volume": 54,
        "typical_volume": 203.4,
        "trend": 1191.393331,
        "fair_value": 915.364101,
        "relative_strength": 3.830389,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
          1320.093343,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1310.599976,
        "volume": 177,
        "typical_volume": 209.2,
        "trend": 1197.259998,
        "fair_value": 919.789101,
        "relative_strength": 3.552172,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.484976,
        "energy": 36.159134,
        "activity_lines": [
          1316.319995,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1396.599976,
        "volume": 235,
        "typical_volume": 218.3,
        "trend": 1206.646663,
        "fair_value": 924.873716,
        "relative_strength": 8.642661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}