{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8b44a9da-9925-4992-9cfa-25b9686a1d2a", "symbol": "PK", "name": "Park Hotels & Resorts Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.398, "architecture_energy": 60.982, "architecture_maturity": 72.678, "architecture_confidence": 85.882, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.92, "rotation_up": 57.35, "upward_expansion": 84.52, "deceleration": 67.39, "rotation_down": 24.6, "downward_expansion": 11.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.812667, 14.657219, 13.683689, 12.930715 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.76, "trend_reference": 12.112782, "distance_from_trend": 0.218547, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.427514, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.291619, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.540575, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.310531, "excess_performance": 0.184907, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.218547, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129534, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.291619, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.286518, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.155406, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.205536, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.310531, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.044496, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29345759, "relative_activity": 1.281254, "balance": 2.044496, "dry_up": 0.943588, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062143, "annualized_volatility": 0.307786, "from_high_reference": -0.046512, "from_low_reference": 0.572314 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.112782, "fair_value_reference": 11.427514, "structural_low": 9.935319, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.002118, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003624, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.218467, "worst_return": -0.103225, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.046134, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.097537, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.350151, "worst_return": -0.213062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -7.8e-05, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.091031, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.136329, "worst_return": -0.266741, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.359695, "energy": 65.686886, "activity_lines": [ 14.606345, 14.339611, 13.208279, 12.544768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.06, "volume": 18466269, "typical_volume": 22260672.75, "trend": 11.994574, "fair_value": 11.393045, "relative_strength": 22.603833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.970798, "energy": 66.30046, "activity_lines": [ 14.777333, 14.559765, 13.472428, 12.752301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.76, "volume": 29345759, "typical_volume": 22903927.05, "trend": 12.112782, "fair_value": 11.427514, "relative_strength": 15.540575, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.398415, "energy": 60.982047, "activity_lines": [ 14.812667, 14.657219, 13.683689, 12.930715 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }