{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8b5fc829-3fc2-4a83-a81c-806a3543f9d8",
    "symbol": "PHK",
    "name": "Pimco High Income Fund",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 77.515,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 45.598,
    "architecture_energy": 57.802,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.454,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.51,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.87,
        "rotation_up": 69.32,
        "upward_expansion": 61.08,
        "deceleration": 22.3,
        "rotation_down": 18.45,
        "downward_expansion": 19.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.674146,
        4.638296,
        4.590756,
        4.5746
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.72,
    "trend_reference": 4.579499,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.030681,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.099918,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.151243,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.639759,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.003493,
    "excess_performance": -0.122132,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030681,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00444,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151243,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016526,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076398,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02131,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003493,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.156645,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3883495,
      "relative_activity": 1.02837,
      "balance": 2.156645,
      "dry_up": 1.575665,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020721,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.132766,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006542,
      "from_low_reference": 0.104231
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.579499,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.099918,
      "structural_low": 4.274467,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.026057,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012637,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.048421,
        "worst_return": 0.003693,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.064173,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.052294,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.064173,
        "worst_return": 0.064173,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.072124,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09662,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.072124,
        "worst_return": 0.072124,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.190658,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.148003,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.190658,
        "worst_return": 0.190658,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.004081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026531,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.072942,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005726,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014862,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01279,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.03989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.028051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041524,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.006454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002123,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 12085251,
        "typical_volume": 3922193.6,
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        "fair_value": 4.078907,
        "relative_strength": -4.805584,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.56905,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.62,
        "volume": 5156997,
        "typical_volume": 4008018.75,
        "trend": 4.574564,
        "fair_value": 4.085706,
        "relative_strength": -5.90247,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.519541,
        "energy": 50.149184,
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          4.640955,
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          4.561239,
          4.560474
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.65,
        "volume": 2675365,
        "typical_volume": 3781471.05,
        "trend": 4.576492,
        "fair_value": 4.09256,
        "relative_strength": -6.073608,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.678681,
        "energy": 49.827818,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.647797,
          4.612817,
          4.573282,
          4.565341
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.72,
        "volume": 3883495,
        "typical_volume": 3776360.35,
        "trend": 4.579499,
        "fair_value": 4.099918,
        "relative_strength": -7.639759,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.597971,
        "energy": 57.802466,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.638296,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}