{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8b6b1ddd-f564-4fd1-944a-1e34d1ebb9da",
    "symbol": "JPSRU",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Japan Socially Responsible UCITS ETF hUSD acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.159,
    "architecture_energy": 72.645,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.139,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.242,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.19,
        "rotation_up": 57.86,
        "upward_expansion": 83.0,
        "deceleration": 71.24,
        "rotation_down": 28.77,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        36.969441
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 40.080002,
    "trend_reference": 35.854167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.117862,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.562969,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.508868,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.166881,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.176747,
    "excess_performance": 0.093864,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117862,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065714,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.508868,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092999,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081669,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037837,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176747,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 783.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6195,
      "relative_activity": 2.252318,
      "balance": 783.0,
      "dry_up": 1.861752,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018252,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.154277,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.443804
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 26.562969,
      "structural_low": 31.950001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
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        "positive_rate": 0.681818,
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        "worst_return": -0.063007,
        "sufficient": true
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.666352,
        "energy": 60.06483,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.601,
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          34.006762,
          33.587777
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 35.349998,
        "volume": 4640,
        "typical_volume": 4981.25,
        "trend": 33.00057,
        "fair_value": 24.967001,
        "relative_strength": 11.950558,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.930155,
        "energy": 65.096946,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.863333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 36.18,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4981.25,
        "trend": 33.227903,
        "fair_value": 25.080744,
        "relative_strength": 12.948166,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.561051,
        "energy": 69.811383,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.304333,
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          34.373,
          33.957499
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 113,
        "typical_volume": 4986.9,
        "trend": 33.432,
        "fair_value": 25.19477,
        "relative_strength": 10.382972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.179737,
        "energy": 76.263005,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.695333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 37.009998,
        "volume": 50,
        "typical_volume": 4986.3,
        "trend": 33.643333,
        "fair_value": 25.311142,
        "relative_strength": 11.687001,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 81.179449,
        "energy": 86.044008,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 37.285,
        "volume": 1128,
        "typical_volume": 4536.5,
        "trend": 33.863333,
        "fair_value": 25.428328,
        "relative_strength": 13.186839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.498338,
        "energy": 92.780412,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.736333,
          36.011545,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.459999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4534.0,
        "trend": 34.061666,
        "fair_value": 25.543366,
        "relative_strength": 10.538368,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.492824,
        "energy": 92.246946,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 13.57339,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 97.060526,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 38.215,
        "volume": 28,
        "typical_volume": 3145.9,
        "trend": 34.524,
        "fair_value": 25.791295,
        "relative_strength": 8.108961,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.298986,
        "energy": 90.749705,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.034333,
          37.275363,
          36.072071,
          35.415118
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 39.095001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3101.55,
        "trend": 34.772333,
        "fair_value": 25.919725,
        "relative_strength": 8.248095,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.350743,
        "energy": 94.915111,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.476667,
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          36.434143,
          35.710021
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 39.325001,
        "volume": 150,
        "typical_volume": 3109.05,
        "trend": 35.017,
        "fair_value": 26.050424,
        "relative_strength": 9.856589,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.386509,
        "energy": 93.995038,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.856667,
          38.158545,
          36.798167,
          36.003742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.764999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3047.65,
        "trend": 35.225167,
        "fair_value": 26.176122,
        "relative_strength": 7.051033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.302314,
        "energy": 85.281371,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.914,
          38.387091,
          37.085976,
          36.245548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.689999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2668.25,
        "trend": 35.429333,
        "fair_value": 26.300186,
        "relative_strength": 6.630606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.807539,
        "energy": 69.730555,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.859333,
          38.539909,
          37.350071,
          36.469086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.740002,
        "volume": 14288,
        "typical_volume": 3282.75,
        "trend": 35.635167,
        "fair_value": 26.428122,
        "relative_strength": 6.313938,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.74947,
        "energy": 65.20658,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.833334,
          38.656182,
          37.593262,
          36.682677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.080002,
        "volume": 6195,
        "typical_volume": 2750.5,
        "trend": 35.854167,
        "fair_value": 26.562969,
        "relative_strength": 8.166881,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.159272,
        "energy": 72.645307,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.219001,
          38.971546,
          37.936929,
          36.969441
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}