{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8b6c319a-2ea4-4e28-8a7b-000b16c7dcb7", "symbol": "FVCB", "name": "FVCBankcorp Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.858, "architecture_energy": 81.979, "architecture_maturity": 44.539, "architecture_confidence": 86.099, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.52, "rotation_up": 79.15, "upward_expansion": 96.73, "deceleration": 40.21, "rotation_down": 12.25, "downward_expansion": 18.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.233394, 17.823496, 17.066674, 16.57654 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 18.52, "trend_reference": 16.010506, "distance_from_trend": 0.15674, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.762094, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.451172, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.583521, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.163375, "excess_performance": -0.024079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.15674, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098343, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.451172, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165186, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.105835, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129174, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.163375, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.671817, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 575347, "relative_activity": 0.676056, "balance": 2.671817, "dry_up": 0.689133, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046128, "annualized_volatility": 0.148763, "from_high_reference": -0.030874, "from_low_reference": 0.578759 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.010506, "fair_value_reference": 12.762094, "structural_low": 14.246641, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.005957, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.010597, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.080721, "worst_return": -0.100075, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.025746, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.000479, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.147922, "worst_return": -0.182567, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.085389, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.022693, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.213617, "worst_return": -0.328914, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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11.348636, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.953498, "energy": 71.434496, "activity_lines": [ 17.434644, 17.035785, 16.422021, 16.065496 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.931148, "volume": 544419, "typical_volume": 821231.7, "trend": 15.699999, "fair_value": 12.692634, "relative_strength": 14.002846, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.044315, "energy": 79.805335, "activity_lines": [ 17.644913, 17.271963, 16.613248, 16.218361 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.59, "volume": 626180, "typical_volume": 839610.15, "trend": 15.858237, "fair_value": 12.72773, "relative_strength": 17.086896, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.52959, "energy": 82.250587, "activity_lines": [ 17.988057, 17.580275, 16.852806, 16.404813 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.52, "volume": 575347, "typical_volume": 851034.1, "trend": 16.010506, "fair_value": 12.762094, "relative_strength": 10.583521, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.858323, "energy": 81.979206, "activity_lines": [ 18.233394, 17.823496, 17.066674, 16.57654 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }