{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8b837986-f1df-4452-9643-b3337d4a6ee4", "symbol": "VIVE", "name": "Vivesto AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.19, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.117, "architecture_energy": 11.831, "architecture_maturity": 20.538, "architecture_confidence": 63.868, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.39, "rotation_up": 24.87, "upward_expansion": 7.06, "deceleration": 58.18, "rotation_down": 43.09, "downward_expansion": 46.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.578667, 8.603273, 9.042952, 8.964344 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.7, "trend_reference": 8.987333, "distance_from_trend": -0.031971, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.41503, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.551894, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.207763, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.006944, "excess_performance": -0.05455, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031971, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148483, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.551894, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044304, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.392078, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122148, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006944, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.772413, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52985, "relative_activity": 0.331001, "balance": 1.772413, "dry_up": 0.233603, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.275199, "annualized_volatility": 1.182952, "from_high_reference": -0.643009, "from_low_reference": 0.242857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.987333, "fair_value_reference": 19.41503, "structural_low": 7.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.032333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.032299, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.032333, "worst_return": -0.032333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"fair_value": 19.772314, "relative_strength": -43.846302, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.521468, "energy": 23.124267, "activity_lines": [ 8.614667, 9.299455, 9.183619, 9.132966 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.33, "volume": 35459, "typical_volume": 160322.75, "trend": 9.269519, "fair_value": 19.68065, "relative_strength": -42.879982, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.099084, "energy": 25.714579, "activity_lines": [ 8.504, 9.042909, 9.128286, 9.065259 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.85, "volume": 21649, "typical_volume": 158212.75, "trend": 9.160667, "fair_value": 19.589808, "relative_strength": -39.027615, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.581573, "energy": 20.291052, "activity_lines": [ 8.588667, 8.881091, 9.121381, 9.038194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.38, "volume": 39483, "typical_volume": 159147.8, "trend": 9.064, "fair_value": 19.503765, "relative_strength": -41.741886, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.758574, "energy": 14.683689, "activity_lines": [ 8.523333, 8.634727, 9.067, 8.987828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.7, "volume": 52985, "typical_volume": 160074.9, "trend": 8.987333, "fair_value": 19.41503, "relative_strength": -39.207763, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.116562, "energy": 11.831287, "activity_lines": [ 8.578667, 8.603273, 9.042952, 8.964344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }