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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 79.551, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.905, "architecture_energy": 69.015, "architecture_maturity": 37.797, "architecture_confidence": 76.718, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.41, "rotation_up": 68.13, "upward_expansion": 89.96, "deceleration": 47.87, "rotation_down": 17.65, "downward_expansion": 14.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.493334, 103.56, 101.49655, 99.723644 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 104.300003, "trend_reference": 97.253161, "distance_from_trend": 0.072459, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 73.837633, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.412559, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.850448, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126147, "excess_performance": -0.0481, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072459, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054493, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.412559, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000874, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078504, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030245, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126147, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 4.82659, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024252, "annualized_volatility": 0.219964, "from_high_reference": -0.015573, "from_low_reference": 0.273287 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.253161, "fair_value_reference": 73.837633, "structural_low": 87.55202, "invalidation": "A 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.79793, "energy": 78.272439, "activity_lines": [ 101.593331, 100.118041, 98.485679, 96.987281 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 102.800003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5.7, "trend": 95.156371, "fair_value": 72.313381, "relative_strength": -7.435707, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.172286, "energy": 77.363678, "activity_lines": [ 102.291999, 100.789232, 99.015151, 97.513251 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 103.699997, "volume": 91, "typical_volume": 10.25, "trend": 95.683807, "fair_value": 72.678797, "relative_strength": -4.758441, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.963258, "energy": 82.918342, "activity_lines": [ 102.955999, 101.536726, 99.612469, 98.064452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 104.699997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.85, "trend": 96.228012, "fair_value": 73.062397, "relative_strength": -5.094987, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.563851, "energy": 82.931569, "activity_lines": [ 103.763332, 102.35018, 100.292656, 98.646142 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 105.400002, "volume": 76, "typical_volume": 8.65, "trend": 96.770705, "fair_value": 73.453201, "relative_strength": -4.323621, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.977425, "energy": 80.842436, "activity_lines": [ 104.379999, 103.125453, 100.981607, 99.237883 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.300003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.65, "trend": 97.253161, "fair_value": 73.837633, "relative_strength": -7.850448, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.904711, "energy": 69.015465, "activity_lines": [ 104.493334, 103.56, 101.49655, 99.723644 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }