{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ba318ea-934b-4504-b770-2920a95167ee", "symbol": "BEPC", "name": "Brookfield Renewable Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.859, "architecture_energy": 78.965, "architecture_maturity": 35.105, "architecture_confidence": 83.75, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.25, "rotation_up": 9.22, "upward_expansion": 18.31, "deceleration": 37.05, "rotation_down": 80.17, "downward_expansion": 96.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.239333, 48.839818, 50.453706, 51.616656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 46.98, "trend_reference": 53.013428, "distance_from_trend": -0.113809, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.456488, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.133236, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.389892, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.164382, "excess_performance": -0.284804, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113809, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028602, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.133236, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098605, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.203899, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082914, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.164382, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.655935, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1583400, "relative_activity": 1.260267, "balance": 0.655935, "dry_up": 1.386939, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059958, "annualized_volatility": 0.339509, "from_high_reference": -0.234457, "from_low_reference": 0.080345 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.013428, "fair_value_reference": 41.456488, "structural_low": 44.860001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.025045, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.01188, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.139196, "worst_return": -0.135602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.065235, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.053236, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.300157, "worst_return": -0.106188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.18536, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.162073, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.497912, "worst_return": -0.095967, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.470001, "volume": 1344800, "typical_volume": 1142840.0, "trend": 53.581285, "fair_value": 41.216612, "relative_strength": -18.049125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.421419, "energy": 57.357784, "activity_lines": [ 50.03, 51.181993, 52.010439, 52.846916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.34, "volume": 2457500, "typical_volume": 1215310.0, "trend": 53.409855, "fair_value": 41.289016, "relative_strength": -18.125605, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.318715, "energy": 68.755277, "activity_lines": [ 48.803333, 50.403283, 51.489355, 52.444252 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.779999, "volume": 1584500, "typical_volume": 1236675.0, "trend": 53.177886, "fair_value": 41.374566, "relative_strength": -18.443814, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.221704, "energy": 78.064752, "activity_lines": [ 47.766, 49.562182, 50.946433, 52.016519 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.98, "volume": 1583400, "typical_volume": 1256400.0, "trend": 53.013428, "fair_value": 41.456488, "relative_strength": -20.389892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.85919, "energy": 78.96451, "activity_lines": [ 47.239333, 48.839818, 50.453706, 51.616656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }