{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8baedf99-badb-419a-9d5b-e2da50a6b763",
    "symbol": "CDE",
    "name": "Coeur Mining, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 86.45,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.293,
    "architecture_energy": 49.487,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.642,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.944,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.79,
        "rotation_up": 17.71,
        "upward_expansion": 7.62,
        "deceleration": 46.29,
        "rotation_down": 59.55,
        "downward_expansion": 80.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.733333,
        13.992,
        14.568897,
        15.287558
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 14.855,
    "trend_reference": 16.423942,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.095528,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.423752,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.763466,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.882126,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.172254,
    "excess_performance": -0.3465,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095528,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003922,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.763466,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.341612,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.218821,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.197417,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.172254,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.562026,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17027,
      "relative_activity": 1.565104,
      "balance": 0.562026,
      "dry_up": 1.090159,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.097562,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.564778,
      "from_high_reference": -0.382027,
      "from_low_reference": 0.55951
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.423942,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.423752,
      "structural_low": 12.4,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.009737,
        "positive_rate": 0.482759,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.517241,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018373,
        "regime_survival": 0.827586,
        "best_return": 0.448336,
        "worst_return": -0.244367,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.083927,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010172,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.495767,
        "worst_return": -0.278002,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.013152,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035415,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.367993,
        "worst_return": -0.375476,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.514609,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.41271,
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        "best_return": 2.207052,
        "worst_return": -0.513262,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
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        "return": 0.203027,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.08855,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.051298,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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        "trend": 16.64986,
        "fair_value": 7.283183,
        "relative_strength": 6.112077,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 7.929546,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 7.359941,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 16.442959,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 41.155009,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 16.547668,
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        "relative_strength": -15.632262,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 16.6094,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 50.301414,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 13310.75,
        "trend": 16.700579,
        "fair_value": 7.989351,
        "relative_strength": -18.742052,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.688616,
        "energy": 60.184463,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 8.072064,
        "relative_strength": -17.296381,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.350252,
        "energy": 47.670435,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.945,
        "volume": 28775,
        "typical_volume": 13297.55,
        "trend": 16.735989,
        "fair_value": 8.143658,
        "relative_strength": -24.240136,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.308205,
        "energy": 50.267598,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.648333,
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          15.360815,
          16.09212
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.53,
        "volume": 10561,
        "typical_volume": 13206.75,
        "trend": 16.632843,
        "fair_value": 8.206169,
        "relative_strength": -30.746249,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.254449,
        "energy": 68.745486,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.919333,
          14.376725,
          15.01631,
          15.820766
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.64,
        "volume": 13547,
        "typical_volume": 12578.95,
        "trend": 16.566531,
        "fair_value": 8.276461,
        "relative_strength": -25.873393,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.794308,
        "energy": 60.245899,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.706667,
          14.185,
          14.823998,
          15.627679
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.95,
        "volume": 6305,
        "typical_volume": 11433.4,
        "trend": 16.510341,
        "fair_value": 8.343328,
        "relative_strength": -29.789951,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.547717,
        "energy": 72.29766,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.344667,
          13.896818,
          14.594396,
          15.394355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.855,
        "volume": 17027,
        "typical_volume": 10879.15,
        "trend": 16.423942,
        "fair_value": 8.423752,
        "relative_strength": -21.882126,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.293171,
        "energy": 49.486921,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.733333,
          13.992,
          14.568897,
          15.287558
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}