{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8bb89f33-9525-468e-9023-60065f9699c4", "symbol": "002567", "name": "Tangrenshen Group Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.307, "architecture_energy": 22.144, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.479, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.0, "rotation_up": 27.37, "upward_expansion": 20.19, "deceleration": 46.8, "rotation_down": 24.6, "downward_expansion": 56.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.598667, 3.539091, 3.636143, 3.775505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.61, "trend_reference": 3.962, "distance_from_trend": -0.088844, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.21641, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.307953, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.284315, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.190583, "excess_performance": -0.197983, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088844, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08527, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.307953, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060293, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.192843, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086863, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.190583, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.803379, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72066880, "relative_activity": 0.819772, "balance": 0.803379, "dry_up": 1.053782, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068826, "annualized_volatility": 0.274544, "from_high_reference": -0.292157, "from_low_reference": 0.13522 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.962, "fair_value_reference": 5.21641, "structural_low": 3.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.014056, "positive_rate": 0.487179, "directional_follow_through": 0.512821, "median_excess_return": -0.022644, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 0.268551, "worst_return": -0.214485, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.010225, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.038028, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.16295, "worst_return": -0.208716, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.022133, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.163335, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.313505, "worst_return": -0.261242, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 87910895.6, "trend": 3.962, "fair_value": 5.21641, "relative_strength": -19.284315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.307423, "energy": 22.143875, "activity_lines": [ 3.598667, 3.539091, 3.636143, 3.775505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }