{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8bb974cc-324e-4cbe-96c6-56c2ff343171",
    "symbol": "5297",
    "name": "3s Silicon Tech., Inc.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 49.185,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.898,
    "architecture_energy": 41.24,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.813,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.964,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.74,
        "rotation_up": 19.61,
        "upward_expansion": 23.53,
        "deceleration": 51.06,
        "rotation_down": 61.12,
        "downward_expansion": 55.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        69.664085,
        74.210538,
        89.593851,
        89.338051
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 69.300003,
    "trend_reference": 80.130292,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.135158,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.253246,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.765459,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.653274,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.432956,
    "excess_performance": 0.991584,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135158,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.258123,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.765459,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.793686,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076533,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.957663,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.432956,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.415995,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2222984,
      "relative_activity": 0.335387,
      "balance": 1.415995,
      "dry_up": 0.312611,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.367648,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.760125,
      "from_high_reference": -0.778046,
      "from_low_reference": 1.728727
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 80.130292,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.253246,
      "structural_low": 26.890364,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.000812,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046931,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.147186,
        "worst_return": -0.148809,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.377165,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.332386,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.861472,
        "worst_return": -0.107143,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.919778,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.839431,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.753247,
        "worst_return": 0.08631,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 1.058531,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.715799,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.277544,
        "worst_return": -0.160481,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.089286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.309211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021053,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.098315,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.033742,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.119476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.017482,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 1.010191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.53012,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.269663,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019118,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 345357.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8892539.0,
        "trend": 75.885605,
        "fair_value": 38.224156,
        "relative_strength": -2.515589,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -2.514164,
        "energy": 24.442756,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.840046,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 71.209671,
        "volume": 2294333,
        "typical_volume": 8392570.2,
        "trend": 77.381174,
        "fair_value": 38.582114,
        "relative_strength": 1.220915,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.684708,
        "energy": 36.396981,
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          73.281223,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.0,
        "volume": 1748387,
        "typical_volume": 7315858.9,
        "trend": 78.703358,
        "fair_value": 38.911212,
        "relative_strength": -5.891189,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.966011,
        "energy": 42.117418,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.538155,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 69.300003,
        "volume": 2222984,
        "typical_volume": 6628117.45,
        "trend": 80.130292,
        "fair_value": 39.253246,
        "relative_strength": -7.653274,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.897897,
        "energy": 41.239923,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.664085,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}