{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8bc4f69a-22d5-40bb-abb3-e22ebfe374cd", "symbol": "INTLCONV", "name": "International Conveyors Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.43, "architecture_energy": 35.68, "architecture_maturity": 8.493, "architecture_confidence": 71.376, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.68, "rotation_up": 14.59, "upward_expansion": 19.15, "deceleration": 55.54, "rotation_down": 63.26, "downward_expansion": 46.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.354666, 77.306909, 78.223858, 77.507742 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 74.839996, "trend_reference": 77.247667, "distance_from_trend": -0.031168, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 83.369624, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102311, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.925223, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.032075, "excess_performance": 0.011635, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031168, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046196, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.102311, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104377, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.099252, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092977, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032075, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.452627, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 153544, "relative_activity": 0.629313, "balance": 0.452627, "dry_up": 1.00415, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059707, "annualized_volatility": 0.339083, "from_high_reference": -0.346604, "from_low_reference": 0.247333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.247667, "fair_value_reference": 83.369624, "structural_low": 60.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.002759, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.007404, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.249919, "worst_return": -0.123426, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.036262, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.030203, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.45164, "worst_return": -0.264565, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.106314, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.006892, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.482903, "worst_return": -0.116743, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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257763.95, "trend": 77.591667, "fair_value": 83.37793, "relative_strength": -10.701305, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.381107, "energy": 24.890437, "activity_lines": [ 76.146667, 78.121637, 78.430048, 77.68527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.839996, "volume": 153544, "typical_volume": 243986.85, "trend": 77.247667, "fair_value": 83.369624, "relative_strength": -9.925223, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.429999, "energy": 35.680417, "activity_lines": [ 75.354666, 77.306909, 78.223858, 77.507742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }