{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8bd6eb59-d783-4363-97e8-cd8fccbd5634", "symbol": "SW2CHB", "name": "UBS MSCI Switzerland 20/35 UCITS ETF CHF acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.402, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.006, "architecture_energy": 57.833, "architecture_maturity": 48.767, "architecture_confidence": 71.522, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.13, "rotation_up": 56.39, "upward_expansion": 82.64, "deceleration": 66.0, "rotation_down": 25.25, "downward_expansion": 9.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.658334, 36.512091, 35.778095, 35.234721 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 36.98, "trend_reference": 34.677, "distance_from_trend": 0.066413, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.901971, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.236708, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.543345, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.078448, "excess_performance": -0.092443, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066413, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038389, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.236708, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069507, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.045433, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015349, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.078448, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.00722, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28340, "relative_activity": 0.362537, "balance": 4.00722, "dry_up": 0.403201, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022569, "annualized_volatility": 0.149426, "from_high_reference": -0.006582, "from_low_reference": 0.262439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.677, "fair_value_reference": 29.901971, "structural_low": 31.01, "invalidation": "A 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"activity_lines": [ 36.448667, 35.844455, 34.995786, 34.655086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.775002, "volume": 32082, "typical_volume": 87280.3, "trend": 34.346833, "fair_value": 29.706971, "relative_strength": -1.917874, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.318658, "energy": 88.366972, "activity_lines": [ 36.657668, 36.099728, 35.21681, 34.820172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.375, "volume": 32443, "typical_volume": 81375.8, "trend": 34.455333, "fair_value": 29.767676, "relative_strength": -2.748311, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.609293, "energy": 80.407234, "activity_lines": [ 36.633001, 36.231455, 35.394905, 34.951022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.435001, "volume": 33210, "typical_volume": 79636.85, "trend": 34.562333, "fair_value": 29.833061, "relative_strength": -3.219872, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.141426, "energy": 55.726538, "activity_lines": [ 36.554334, 36.335001, 35.568095, 35.078742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.98, "volume": 28340, "typical_volume": 78171.35, "trend": 34.677, "fair_value": 29.901971, "relative_strength": -4.543345, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.005867, "energy": 57.832888, "activity_lines": [ 36.658334, 36.512091, 35.778095, 35.234721 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }