{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8bdd832e-f7bc-47d7-aa23-48a9181fcd81", "symbol": "USAEUA", "name": "UBS MSCI USA UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.512, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.533, "architecture_energy": 71.388, "architecture_maturity": 85.816, "architecture_confidence": 73.567, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 59.09, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.34, "rotation_down": 29.19, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 638.569332, 635.787274, 625.888052, 611.559936 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 650.460022, "trend_reference": 594.754785, "distance_from_trend": 0.093661, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 507.337733, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.282105, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.092885, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.157387, "excess_performance": -0.013505, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.093661, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041441, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.282105, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036201, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030929, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00594, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.157387, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.123297, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2903, "relative_activity": 3.940278, "balance": 6.123297, "dry_up": 1.422803, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015702, "annualized_volatility": 0.135936, "from_high_reference": -0.002683, "from_low_reference": 0.23215 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 594.754785, "fair_value_reference": 507.337733, 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"activity_lines": [ 633.327991, 632.22327, 621.560908, 607.809173 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 650.460022, "volume": 2903, "typical_volume": 736.75, "trend": 594.754785, "fair_value": 507.337733, "relative_strength": -3.092885, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.532503, "energy": 71.387665, "activity_lines": [ 638.569332, 635.787274, 625.888052, 611.559936 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }