{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8bf84aeb-c09e-492e-9af6-f74b42e87382",
    "symbol": "600221",
    "name": "Hainan Airlines Holding Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -68.383,
    "architecture_energy": 67.977,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.474,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.622,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.31,
        "rotation_up": 17.0,
        "upward_expansion": 13.93,
        "deceleration": 41.4,
        "rotation_down": 68.01,
        "downward_expansion": 89.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.34,
        1.361091,
        1.409714,
        1.445505
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 1.33,
    "trend_reference": 1.508667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.118427,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.468013,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.094013,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.393131,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.213018,
    "excess_performance": -0.169814,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118427,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078208,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094013,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.169597,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153931,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085552,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213018,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.60558,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1247709218,
      "relative_activity": 0.911422,
      "balance": 0.60558,
      "dry_up": 0.908616,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04974,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.243096,
      "from_high_reference": -0.310881,
      "from_low_reference": 0.023077
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.508667,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.468013,
      "structural_low": 1.3,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.025974,
        "positive_rate": 0.290323,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.709677,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007173,
        "regime_survival": 0.83871,
        "best_return": 0.228571,
        "worst_return": -0.125,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.033231,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024152,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.825243,
        "worst_return": -0.18254,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.008041,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019139,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.171875,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.006745,
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        "best_return": 0.069231,
        "worst_return": -0.27381,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
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        "return": -0.055556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.37,
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        "typical_volume": 1418385506.5,
        "trend": 1.524667,
        "fair_value": 1.469744,
        "relative_strength": -10.733957,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 70.959526,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.33,
        "volume": 1247709218,
        "typical_volume": 1368970016.25,
        "trend": 1.508667,
        "fair_value": 1.468013,
        "relative_strength": -15.393131,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}