{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8c1df0e7-277d-4d44-96d8-0faf590b95c5",
    "symbol": "NTEK-B",
    "name": "Novotek AB",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -15.853,
    "architecture_energy": 23.83,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.005,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.71,
        "rotation_up": 42.38,
        "upward_expansion": 23.82,
        "deceleration": 41.33,
        "rotation_down": 23.84,
        "downward_expansion": 60.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        55.952938,
        58.163582
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 59.700001,
    "trend_reference": 62.678615,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.047522,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 65.146997,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.083611,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.693619,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.241496,
    "excess_performance": -0.30299,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047522,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114216,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083611,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015849,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.256936,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062003,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.241496,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.822648,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23257,
      "relative_activity": 0.752897,
      "balance": 1.822648,
      "dry_up": 1.964916,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062492,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.300526,
      "from_high_reference": -0.479332,
      "from_low_reference": 0.194
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 62.678615,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.146997,
      "structural_low": 50.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.028129,
        "positive_rate": 0.611111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.388889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019522,
        "regime_survival": 0.722222,
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        "worst_return": -0.154023,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.165533,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 46000,
        "typical_volume": 30613.15,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -37.809454,
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 38160,
        "typical_volume": 24278.9,
        "trend": 64.772829,
        "fair_value": 64.859182,
        "relative_strength": -35.497805,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.792523,
        "energy": 64.516125,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.52,
          52.458182,
          55.703566,
          59.158831
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.900002,
        "volume": 114609,
        "typical_volume": 28906.0,
        "trend": 63.928364,
        "fair_value": 64.937786,
        "relative_strength": -30.019585,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.912891,
        "energy": 49.288714,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.973334,
          52.863637,
          55.469344,
          58.58639
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 61.0,
        "volume": 66759,
        "typical_volume": 30775.7,
        "trend": 63.325156,
        "fair_value": 65.044331,
        "relative_strength": -23.746868,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.432559,
        "energy": 18.511987,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.800001,
          54.236364,
          55.761887,
          58.397463
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 59.700001,
        "volume": 23257,
        "typical_volume": 30890.0,
        "trend": 62.678615,
        "fair_value": 65.146997,
        "relative_strength": -25.693619,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -15.852717,
        "energy": 23.830237,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.626667,
          55.321819,
          55.952938,
          58.163582
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}