{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8c2ca882-f4cc-431b-b47c-3af9a28436aa",
    "symbol": "LPLA",
    "name": "LPL Financial Holdings Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 53.166,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 53.805,
    "architecture_energy": 72.621,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.775,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.311,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.43,
        "rotation_up": 77.45,
        "upward_expansion": 65.01,
        "deceleration": 20.93,
        "rotation_down": 16.11,
        "downward_expansion": 23.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        345.392,
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        310.90851
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 362.63,
    "trend_reference": 316.101963,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.147193,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 298.818457,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.213546,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.844243,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.056548,
    "excess_performance": -0.244001,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147193,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051562,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213546,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171457,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048442,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23328,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056548,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.216081,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4052910,
      "relative_activity": 0.917689,
      "balance": 1.216081,
      "dry_up": 0.848864,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.068097,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.392788,
      "from_high_reference": -0.09196,
      "from_low_reference": 0.393927
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 316.101963,
      "fair_value_reference": 298.818457,
      "structural_low": 260.15,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.049746,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.058013,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.25383,
        "worst_return": 0.003304,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.208479,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.19048,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.382109,
        "worst_return": 0.034849,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.128982,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.108138,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.050202,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.25518,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.308613,
        "worst_return": 0.201747,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.120246,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.25383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.00877,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066728,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033516,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.159806,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 317.647939,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 4609133.15,
        "trend": 316.224236,
        "fair_value": 297.119751,
        "relative_strength": -9.830129,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.084822,
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          316.886667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 353.7,
        "volume": 4470033,
        "typical_volume": 4577099.05,
        "trend": 315.984161,
        "fair_value": 297.923681,
        "relative_strength": -2.963812,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.671767,
        "energy": 55.340674,
        "activity_lines": [
          332.482667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 362.63,
        "volume": 4052910,
        "typical_volume": 4416431.05,
        "trend": 316.101963,
        "fair_value": 298.818457,
        "relative_strength": -4.844243,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.805002,
        "energy": 72.621113,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}