{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8c3984fe-fb82-4e52-b269-8ec485250822", "symbol": "TALK", "name": "TalkPool AG", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 54.805, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.694, "architecture_energy": 27.739, "architecture_maturity": 21.711, "architecture_confidence": 46.12, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.22, "rotation_up": 44.67, "upward_expansion": 69.17, "deceleration": 66.55, "rotation_down": 19.97, "downward_expansion": 7.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.703333, 15.64, 15.166429, 14.966129 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.6, "trend_reference": 14.81, "distance_from_trend": 0.053342, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.512692, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.639914, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.242057, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.072165, "excess_performance": 0.010671, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053342, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031098, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.639914, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171227, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070021, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.072165, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.420916, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13932, "relative_activity": 0.42233, "balance": 0.420916, "dry_up": 0.931993, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0964, "annualized_volatility": 0.426163, "from_high_reference": -0.085044, "from_low_reference": 0.514563 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.81, "fair_value_reference": 9.512692, "structural_low": 11.8, "invalidation": "A decisive 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14.366364, 14.42119, 14.496237 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 13.7, "volume": 4793, "typical_volume": 50795.1, "trend": 14.48, "fair_value": 8.959487, "relative_strength": -10.555165, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.775252, "energy": 42.824591, "activity_lines": [ 13.846667, 14.222727, 14.344762, 14.448387 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 13.25, "volume": 41303, "typical_volume": 48251.55, "trend": 14.463333, "fair_value": 9.01891, "relative_strength": -15.277653, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.674211, "energy": 53.166013, "activity_lines": [ 13.62, 13.997273, 14.231667, 14.369032 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 16.25, "volume": 2383, "typical_volume": 44703.8, "trend": 14.543333, "fair_value": 9.081731, "relative_strength": 4.991118, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.522918, "energy": 5.57866, "activity_lines": [ 14.443333, 14.353636, 14.411429, 14.484301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 16.25, "volume": 1600, "typical_volume": 40298.1, "trend": 14.618333, "fair_value": 9.154487, "relative_strength": 2.187748, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.059984, "energy": 23.519498, "activity_lines": [ 15.143333, 14.689091, 14.583095, 14.594409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 16.549999, "volume": 25611, "typical_volume": 39750.1, "trend": 14.68, "fair_value": 9.226603, "relative_strength": 6.431807, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.517355, "energy": 56.295359, "activity_lines": [ 15.78, 15.045454, 14.775952, 14.719032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.450001, "volume": 26316, "typical_volume": 40337.95, "trend": 14.786667, "fair_value": 9.302308, "relative_strength": 6.938937, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.294221, "energy": 62.799647, "activity_lines": [ 16.196667, 15.352727, 14.951429, 14.833226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.5, "volume": 18812, "typical_volume": 38697.85, "trend": 14.83, "fair_value": 9.373205, "relative_strength": -0.464057, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.561871, "energy": 61.912417, "activity_lines": [ 16.113333, 15.472727, 15.029762, 14.879247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.4, "volume": 63920, "typical_volume": 39133.85, "trend": 14.823333, "fair_value": 9.440641, "relative_strength": -2.045287, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.794476, "energy": 46.979996, "activity_lines": [ 15.846667, 15.547273, 15.090714, 14.916022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.6, "volume": 13932, "typical_volume": 32988.45, "trend": 14.81, "fair_value": 9.512692, "relative_strength": -2.242057, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.694419, "energy": 27.739366, "activity_lines": [ 15.703333, 15.64, 15.166429, 14.966129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }