{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8c439eb5-90c0-4205-b59f-06626a0340e4", "symbol": "298770", "name": "KODEX Korea Taiwan IT Premier ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -0.62, "architecture_energy": 22.059, "architecture_maturity": 66.43, "architecture_confidence": 77.519, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.05, "rotation_up": 14.02, "upward_expansion": 46.68, "deceleration": 88.0, "rotation_down": 44.03, "downward_expansion": 29.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 78406.829167, 84344.835369, 84453.34933, 78843.465029 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 75525.0, "trend_reference": 70724.735287, "distance_from_trend": 0.067873, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33988.950245, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.222046, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.199576, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.528755, "excess_performance": 0.298927, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067873, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.294274, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.222046, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.567785, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.181996, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087392, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.528755, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.034906, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63140, "relative_activity": 0.439324, "balance": 1.034906, "dry_up": 1.025504, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118812, "annualized_volatility": 0.46071, "from_high_reference": -0.297573, "from_low_reference": 1.640014 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70724.735287, "fair_value_reference": 33988.950245, "structural_low": 50231.719738, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.005305, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.000954, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.063392, "worst_return": -0.034606, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.023796, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.037272, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.068469, "worst_return": -0.10199, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.04813, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.074902, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.070457, "worst_return": -0.141293, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.600563, "energy": 26.379429, "activity_lines": [ 81475.185938, 87012.417898, 84756.632273, 78468.406855 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75525.0, "volume": 63140, "typical_volume": 143720.75, "trend": 70724.735287, "fair_value": 33988.950245, "relative_strength": 18.199576, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.619666, "energy": 22.058768, "activity_lines": [ 78406.829167, 84344.835369, 84453.34933, 78843.465029 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }