{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8c583cb9-7339-4475-9584-68e663448bfe", "symbol": "002170", "name": "Shenzhen Batian Ecotypic Engineering Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.619, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.092, "architecture_energy": 30.922, "architecture_maturity": 60.378, "architecture_confidence": 80.647, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.45, "rotation_up": 26.23, "upward_expansion": 16.19, "deceleration": 46.74, "rotation_down": 34.53, "downward_expansion": 63.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.231333, 11.126364, 11.5017, 11.857111 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.56, "trend_reference": 12.215351, "distance_from_trend": -0.05365, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.21908, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.406483, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.329658, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.127495, "excess_performance": -0.134894, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.05365, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013476, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.406483, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.274612, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033297, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009061, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.127495, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.412613, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 78571080, "relative_activity": 0.873566, "balance": 0.412613, "dry_up": 1.08574, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060594, "annualized_volatility": 0.365042, "from_high_reference": -0.202363, "from_low_reference": 0.222738 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.215351, "fair_value_reference": 8.21908, "structural_low": 10.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.050181, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.046965, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.191489, "worst_return": -0.203936, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.091234, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.085595, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.120148, "worst_return": -0.052539, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.048474, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.138522, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.156415, "worst_return": -0.00973, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 118261559.3, "trend": 12.240052, "fair_value": 8.114349, "relative_strength": -9.673041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.648061, "energy": 83.161321, "activity_lines": [ 10.778, 11.043455, 11.699018, 12.024884 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.9, "volume": 119556897, "typical_volume": 109365182.85, "trend": 12.222012, "fair_value": 8.145603, "relative_strength": -5.519115, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.496281, "energy": 59.630393, "activity_lines": [ 10.789333, 10.963273, 11.57631, 11.938429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.62, "volume": 96557941, "typical_volume": 98530960.5, "trend": 12.218406, "fair_value": 8.182218, "relative_strength": 2.247302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.898306, "energy": 46.172921, "activity_lines": [ 11.035333, 11.046909, 11.536366, 11.899589 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.56, "volume": 78571080, "typical_volume": 89942924.85, "trend": 12.215351, "fair_value": 8.21908, "relative_strength": -3.329658, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.092334, "energy": 30.922391, "activity_lines": [ 11.231333, 11.126364, 11.5017, 11.857111 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }