{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8c5a1b1e-b000-4c3c-aac0-af5413cc9e93", "symbol": "V3ML", "name": "Vanguard ESG Emerging Markets All Cap UCITS ETF USD Inc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.615, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.265, "architecture_energy": 24.962, "architecture_maturity": 60.542, "architecture_confidence": 88.68, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.48, "rotation_up": 32.32, "upward_expansion": 58.83, "deceleration": 85.31, "rotation_down": 32.66, "downward_expansion": 20.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.627067, 8.657582, 8.642218, 8.523564 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.831, "trend_reference": 8.3907, "distance_from_trend": 0.052475, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.650355, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.327899, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.421603, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.071298, "excess_performance": 0.020063, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052475, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041658, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.327899, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054628, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014216, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081989, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071298, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.956261, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85011, "relative_activity": 4.664258, "balance": 2.956261, "dry_up": 1.79777, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029277, "annualized_volatility": 0.192835, "from_high_reference": -0.006581, "from_low_reference": 0.241877 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.3907, "fair_value_reference": 6.650355, "structural_low": 7.565, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"gate": "up", "direction": 67.968385, "energy": 50.185606, "activity_lines": [ 8.755234, 8.723495, 8.54766, 8.424037 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.8095, "volume": 13606, "typical_volume": 17936.75, "trend": 8.285839, "fair_value": 6.570546, "relative_strength": 5.233948, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.727149, "energy": 49.834024, "activity_lines": [ 8.782025, 8.743194, 8.588362, 8.460443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.4275, "volume": 14066, "typical_volume": 18555.2, "trend": 8.312523, "fair_value": 6.589939, "relative_strength": -0.32126, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.24762, "energy": 26.289522, "activity_lines": [ 8.666367, 8.689857, 8.590865, 8.469582 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.4875, "volume": 19853, "typical_volume": 18656.45, "trend": 8.338698, "fair_value": 6.608348, "relative_strength": -0.908232, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.126565, "energy": 20.154718, "activity_lines": [ 8.590533, 8.654417, 8.598939, 8.480871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.531, "volume": 12135, "typical_volume": 19182.3, "trend": 8.361569, "fair_value": 6.627842, "relative_strength": -1.657252, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.912228, "energy": 19.859731, "activity_lines": [ 8.556, 8.627976, 8.608115, 8.493278 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.831, "volume": 85011, "typical_volume": 18226.05, "trend": 8.3907, "fair_value": 6.650355, "relative_strength": 1.421603, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.264584, "energy": 24.961914, "activity_lines": [ 8.627067, 8.657582, 8.642218, 8.523564 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }