{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8c5dcaf7-066f-44ae-878b-d0c2fcb86983", "symbol": "SPRINT", "name": "Sprint Bioscience AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.403, "architecture_energy": 22.131, "architecture_maturity": 66.332, "architecture_confidence": 90.385, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.49, "rotation_up": 19.33, "upward_expansion": 53.03, "deceleration": 93.45, "rotation_down": 31.82, "downward_expansion": 19.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.604, 3.774, 3.698952, 3.416667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 3.5, "trend_reference": 2.969, "distance_from_trend": 0.178848, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.564547, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.237069, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 53.58043, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.058824, "excess_performance": 0.997329, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.178848, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.40662, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.237069, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.832671, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.535804, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.400099, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.058824, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.613224, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 976071, "relative_activity": 0.434075, "balance": 0.613224, "dry_up": 0.418317, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138022, "annualized_volatility": 0.881902, "from_high_reference": -0.237473, "from_low_reference": 5.835938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.969, "fair_value_reference": 1.564547, "structural_low": 1.6, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.07959, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.064224, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.096257, "worst_return": -0.270732, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.212658, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.15765, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.137124, "worst_return": -0.438503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.31016, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.558032, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.628763, "worst_return": -0.759626, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.130913, "positive_rate": 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"volume": 944444, "typical_volume": 2479440.75, "trend": 2.834, "fair_value": 1.525477, "relative_strength": 74.660805, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.445405, "energy": 28.247901, "activity_lines": [ 3.807333, 3.868727, 3.672333, 3.328817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.6, "volume": 936886, "typical_volume": 2395792.9, "trend": 2.904333, "fair_value": 1.545246, "relative_strength": 64.960488, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.843914, "energy": 21.172528, "activity_lines": [ 3.694, 3.833455, 3.694381, 3.378237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.5, "volume": 976071, "typical_volume": 2248624.85, "trend": 2.969, "fair_value": 1.564547, "relative_strength": 53.58043, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.403376, "energy": 22.131292, "activity_lines": [ 3.604, 3.774, 3.698952, 3.416667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }